Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days only after the death, resignation, or incapacitation of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council appointing an interim leader in such cases. President Masoud Pezeshkian has remained in office without interruption since his 2024 victory, and no such vacancy or triggering event has occurred in recent months. This structural barrier, combined with the absence of scheduled early polls or reported leadership crises, drives trader consensus toward a strong "no" outcome by the June 30 resolution date. An unforeseen development such as sudden presidential incapacity could still shift the timeline, though no credible indicators point to that possibility at present.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$275,593 Обс.
$275,593 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$275,593 Обс.
$275,593 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days only after the death, resignation, or incapacitation of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council appointing an interim leader in such cases. President Masoud Pezeshkian has remained in office without interruption since his 2024 victory, and no such vacancy or triggering event has occurred in recent months. This structural barrier, combined with the absence of scheduled early polls or reported leadership crises, drives trader consensus toward a strong "no" outcome by the June 30 resolution date. An unforeseen development such as sudden presidential incapacity could still shift the timeline, though no credible indicators point to that possibility at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$275,593Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days only after the death, resignation, or incapacitation of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council appointing an interim leader in such cases. President Masoud Pezeshkian has remained in office without interruption since his 2024 victory, and no such vacancy or triggering event has occurred in recent months. This structural barrier, combined with the absence of scheduled early polls or reported leadership crises, drives trader consensus toward a strong "no" outcome by the June 30 resolution date. An unforeseen development such as sudden presidential incapacity could still shift the timeline, though no credible indicators point to that possibility at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$275,593Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days only after the death, resignation, or incapacitation of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council appointing an interim leader in such cases. President Masoud Pezeshkian has remained in office without interruption since his 2024 victory, and no such vacancy or triggering event has occurred in recent months. This structural barrier, combined with the absence of scheduled early polls or reported leadership crises, drives trader consensus toward a strong "no" outcome by the June 30 resolution date. An unforeseen development such as sudden presidential incapacity could still shift the timeline, though no credible indicators point to that possibility at present.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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