Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory and inauguration. The Guardian Council vets candidates, and early elections have historically occurred only in cases of presidential death or incapacity, such as the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's passing. As of mid-2026, no constitutional triggers, leadership vacancies, or widespread domestic pressures have emerged to accelerate the timeline. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and aligned institutions maintain oversight of electoral processes, contributing to trader consensus that probabilities for a vote by December 2026 stay low absent unforeseen developments like health crises or major regime shifts. Geopolitical tensions and internal policy debates continue without altering the fixed cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,367 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$767,367 Обс.
December 31
$153 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory and inauguration. The Guardian Council vets candidates, and early elections have historically occurred only in cases of presidential death or incapacity, such as the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's passing. As of mid-2026, no constitutional triggers, leadership vacancies, or widespread domestic pressures have emerged to accelerate the timeline. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and aligned institutions maintain oversight of electoral processes, contributing to trader consensus that probabilities for a vote by December 2026 stay low absent unforeseen developments like health crises or major regime shifts. Geopolitical tensions and internal policy debates continue without altering the fixed cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$767,367Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory and inauguration. The Guardian Council vets candidates, and early elections have historically occurred only in cases of presidential death or incapacity, such as the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's passing. As of mid-2026, no constitutional triggers, leadership vacancies, or widespread domestic pressures have emerged to accelerate the timeline. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and aligned institutions maintain oversight of electoral processes, contributing to trader consensus that probabilities for a vote by December 2026 stay low absent unforeseen developments like health crises or major regime shifts. Geopolitical tensions and internal policy debates continue without altering the fixed cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$767,367Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory and inauguration. The Guardian Council vets candidates, and early elections have historically occurred only in cases of presidential death or incapacity, such as the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's passing. As of mid-2026, no constitutional triggers, leadership vacancies, or widespread domestic pressures have emerged to accelerate the timeline. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and aligned institutions maintain oversight of electoral processes, contributing to trader consensus that probabilities for a vote by December 2026 stay low absent unforeseen developments like health crises or major regime shifts. Geopolitical tensions and internal policy debates continue without altering the fixed cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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