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Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

icon for Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

$704 Обс.

Polymarket

$704 Обс.

Lateefah Simon

$505 Обс.

98%

Jamie Joyce

$199 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lateefah Simon's commanding position in the CA-12 primary market reflects her decisive victory as the Democratic incumbent on June 2, capturing over 80 percent of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce in California's top-two primary system. The heavily Democratic Bay Area district provided a strong base for the sitting representative, consistent with historical patterns of high incumbent re-nomination rates in safe seats. Joyce's distant second-place finish aligned with limited campaign momentum. With results now certified and the margin exceeding 60 points, only extraordinary factors such as a successful legal challenge or recount could alter the outcome, though none have emerged.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$704
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lateefah Simon's commanding position in the CA-12 primary market reflects her decisive victory as the Democratic incumbent on June 2, capturing over 80 percent of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce in California's top-two primary system. The heavily Democratic Bay Area district provided a strong base for the sitting representative, consistent with historical patterns of high incumbent re-nomination rates in safe seats. Joyce's distant second-place finish aligned with limited campaign momentum. With results now certified and the margin exceeding 60 points, only extraordinary factors such as a successful legal challenge or recount could alter the outcome, though none have emerged.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$704
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Lateefah Simon» з 98%, далі «Jamie Joyce» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 25, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?» — «Lateefah Simon» з 98%. Наступний — «Jamie Joyce» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.