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Вибори·Первинні

New York Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for New York Governor Republican Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

New York Governor Republican Primary Winner

Bruce Blakeman 95%

Pat Hahn 2.5%

Elise Stefanik 1.9%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$90,575 Обс.

Bruce Blakeman 95%

Pat Hahn 2.5%

Elise Stefanik 1.9%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$90,575 Обс.

Bruce Blakeman

$13,011 Обс.

95%

Pat Hahn

$2,865 Обс.

3%

Elise Stefanik

$11,733 Обс.

2%

Betsy McCaughey

$21,886 Обс.

1%

David Tulley

$41,081 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman's commanding 95% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary stems from the June 23 primary's cancellation as uncontested, allowing him to advance without opposition after securing the state GOP designation at its February convention and the Conservative Party nomination shortly after. Elise Stefanik suspended her exploratory bid in December 2025, leaving no serious challengers among longshots like Pat Hahn, with designating petition deadlines passed and no viable ballot threats emerging. Recent April developments, including Blakeman's 100-day plan for tax cuts and public safety alongside a denied public matching funds bid contested by GOP lawmakers, have reinforced trader consensus on his lockstep path to the nomination. Late-breaking legal challenges or unforeseen disqualifications represent the only realistic, albeit remote, scenarios to upend this outcome ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$90,575
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman's commanding 95% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary stems from the June 23 primary's cancellation as uncontested, allowing him to advance without opposition after securing the state GOP designation at its February convention and the Conservative Party nomination shortly after. Elise Stefanik suspended her exploratory bid in December 2025, leaving no serious challengers among longshots like Pat Hahn, with designating petition deadlines passed and no viable ballot threats emerging. Recent April developments, including Blakeman's 100-day plan for tax cuts and public safety alongside a denied public matching funds bid contested by GOP lawmakers, have reinforced trader consensus on his lockstep path to the nomination. Late-breaking legal challenges or unforeseen disqualifications represent the only realistic, albeit remote, scenarios to upend this outcome ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$90,575
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«New York Governor Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Bruce Blakeman» з 95%, далі «Pat Hahn» з 3%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «New York Governor Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $90.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 4, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «New York Governor Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «New York Governor Republican Primary Winner» — «Bruce Blakeman» з 95%. Наступний — «Pat Hahn» з 3%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «New York Governor Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.