Trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing from California's June 2 top-two primary at 73.5%, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—led by Xavier Becerra at around 20% in Emerson (May 9–10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5–9) surveys—splitting votes and allowing Republican Steve Hilton to poll competitively near 20–22%. Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco bolsters GOP positioning in the open primary. A 27.5% chance of Democrat-Democrat reflects potential late consolidation among contenders like Tom Steyer or Katie Porter, while Rep-Rep odds at 2.8% underscore California's Democratic lean despite the crowded race. Eric Swalwell's April campaign suspension and Hilton's Trump endorsement have sharpened this dynamic ahead of the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDem-Rep 74%
Dem-Dem 23%
Rep-Rep 3.0%
$72,000 Обс.
$72,000 Обс.

Dem-Rep
74%

Dem-Dem
23%

Rep-Rep
3%
Dem-Rep 74%
Dem-Dem 23%
Rep-Rep 3.0%
$72,000 Обс.
$72,000 Обс.

Dem-Rep
74%

Dem-Dem
23%

Rep-Rep
3%
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing from California's June 2 top-two primary at 73.5%, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—led by Xavier Becerra at around 20% in Emerson (May 9–10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5–9) surveys—splitting votes and allowing Republican Steve Hilton to poll competitively near 20–22%. Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco bolsters GOP positioning in the open primary. A 27.5% chance of Democrat-Democrat reflects potential late consolidation among contenders like Tom Steyer or Katie Porter, while Rep-Rep odds at 2.8% underscore California's Democratic lean despite the crowded race. Eric Swalwell's April campaign suspension and Hilton's Trump endorsement have sharpened this dynamic ahead of the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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