Canada's unemployment rate stood at 6.9% in April 2026, marking a six-month high yet remaining well below the 14.2% peak recorded in May 2020. This reading, driven by modest labor-force growth outpacing hiring amid Bank of Canada rate cuts and contained inflation, underpins the market's 91% implied probability that the rate will not reach its post-2016 high this year. Consensus forecasts from private economists project stability near 7% through year-end, reflecting resilient GDP growth and limited spillover from U.S. tariffs. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or an unexpected housing-market shock could accelerate job losses and push the rate higher, though such outcomes would require far more severe deterioration than current indicators suggest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Feb 15, 2027
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Feb 15, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate stood at 6.9% in April 2026, marking a six-month high yet remaining well below the 14.2% peak recorded in May 2020. This reading, driven by modest labor-force growth outpacing hiring amid Bank of Canada rate cuts and contained inflation, underpins the market's 91% implied probability that the rate will not reach its post-2016 high this year. Consensus forecasts from private economists project stability near 7% through year-end, reflecting resilient GDP growth and limited spillover from U.S. tariffs. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or an unexpected housing-market shock could accelerate job losses and push the rate higher, though such outcomes would require far more severe deterioration than current indicators suggest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,345Дата завершення
Feb 15, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate stood at 6.9% in April 2026, marking a six-month high yet remaining well below the 14.2% peak recorded in May 2020. This reading, driven by modest labor-force growth outpacing hiring amid Bank of Canada rate cuts and contained inflation, underpins the market's 91% implied probability that the rate will not reach its post-2016 high this year. Consensus forecasts from private economists project stability near 7% through year-end, reflecting resilient GDP growth and limited spillover from U.S. tariffs. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or an unexpected housing-market shock could accelerate job losses and push the rate higher, though such outcomes would require far more severe deterioration than current indicators suggest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Обсяг
$6,345Дата завершення
Feb 15, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate stood at 6.9% in April 2026, marking a six-month high yet remaining well below the 14.2% peak recorded in May 2020. This reading, driven by modest labor-force growth outpacing hiring amid Bank of Canada rate cuts and contained inflation, underpins the market's 91% implied probability that the rate will not reach its post-2016 high this year. Consensus forecasts from private economists project stability near 7% through year-end, reflecting resilient GDP growth and limited spillover from U.S. tariffs. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or an unexpected housing-market shock could accelerate job losses and push the rate higher, though such outcomes would require far more severe deterioration than current indicators suggest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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