Recent June outages on the 2nd, 5th, 7th, and 13th—marked by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and the Claude Code platform—have driven trader focus on Anthropic's infrastructure strain from surging demand for its frontier large language models. These partial disruptions, often tied to high-traffic spikes and agentic workloads, mirror earlier 2026 incidents and reflect ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability amid rapid user growth. With roughly half the month elapsed and status pages showing persistent 98-99% uptime alongside recurring fixes, markets price the 6-8 day range highest as traders weigh continued scaling pressures against potential stabilization before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Claude go down on __ days in June?
Will Claude go down on __ days in June?
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.8%
$12,879 Обс.
$12,879 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
3-5
5%
6-8
42%
9-11
34%
12+
14%
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.8%
$12,879 Обс.
$12,879 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
3-5
$4,244 Обс.
5%
6-8
$1,423 Обс.
42%
9-11
$1,884 Обс.
34%
12+
$2,033 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent June outages on the 2nd, 5th, 7th, and 13th—marked by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and the Claude Code platform—have driven trader focus on Anthropic's infrastructure strain from surging demand for its frontier large language models. These partial disruptions, often tied to high-traffic spikes and agentic workloads, mirror earlier 2026 incidents and reflect ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability amid rapid user growth. With roughly half the month elapsed and status pages showing persistent 98-99% uptime alongside recurring fixes, markets price the 6-8 day range highest as traders weigh continued scaling pressures against potential stabilization before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,879Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent June outages on the 2nd, 5th, 7th, and 13th—marked by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and the Claude Code platform—have driven trader focus on Anthropic's infrastructure strain from surging demand for its frontier large language models. These partial disruptions, often tied to high-traffic spikes and agentic workloads, mirror earlier 2026 incidents and reflect ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability amid rapid user growth. With roughly half the month elapsed and status pages showing persistent 98-99% uptime alongside recurring fixes, markets price the 6-8 day range highest as traders weigh continued scaling pressures against potential stabilization before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Обсяг
$12,879Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June outages on the 2nd, 5th, 7th, and 13th—marked by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and the Claude Code platform—have driven trader focus on Anthropic's infrastructure strain from surging demand for its frontier large language models. These partial disruptions, often tied to high-traffic spikes and agentic workloads, mirror earlier 2026 incidents and reflect ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability amid rapid user growth. With roughly half the month elapsed and status pages showing persistent 98-99% uptime alongside recurring fixes, markets price the 6-8 day range highest as traders weigh continued scaling pressures against potential stabilization before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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