China's Ministry of National Defense announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, was under investigation for serious violations of political discipline and law, resulting in his swift removal amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption purge of People's Liberation Army leadership. No formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly confirmed in the four months since, with state media maintaining silence on judicial proceedings typical of opaque Communist Party disciplinary processes. Traders price an 88.5% "No" probability reflecting this stalled progress and historical patterns where high-level probes often end in expulsion rather than swift prison terms, though late-breaking developments like a special tribunal could shift odds before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$122,867 Обс.
$122,867 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$122,867 Обс.
$122,867 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.China's Ministry of National Defense announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, was under investigation for serious violations of political discipline and law, resulting in his swift removal amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption purge of People's Liberation Army leadership. No formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly confirmed in the four months since, with state media maintaining silence on judicial proceedings typical of opaque Communist Party disciplinary processes. Traders price an 88.5% "No" probability reflecting this stalled progress and historical patterns where high-level probes often end in expulsion rather than swift prison terms, though late-breaking developments like a special tribunal could shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$122,867Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.China's Ministry of National Defense announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, was under investigation for serious violations of political discipline and law, resulting in his swift removal amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption purge of People's Liberation Army leadership. No formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly confirmed in the four months since, with state media maintaining silence on judicial proceedings typical of opaque Communist Party disciplinary processes. Traders price an 88.5% "No" probability reflecting this stalled progress and historical patterns where high-level probes often end in expulsion rather than swift prison terms, though late-breaking developments like a special tribunal could shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$122,867Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China's Ministry of National Defense announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, was under investigation for serious violations of political discipline and law, resulting in his swift removal amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption purge of People's Liberation Army leadership. No formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly confirmed in the four months since, with state media maintaining silence on judicial proceedings typical of opaque Communist Party disciplinary processes. Traders price an 88.5% "No" probability reflecting this stalled progress and historical patterns where high-level probes often end in expulsion rather than swift prison terms, though late-breaking developments like a special tribunal could shift odds before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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