Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật130m+ 25%
125-130m 15%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
15%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
30%
120-125m
36%
125-130m
20%
130m+
25%
130m+ 25%
125-130m 15%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$324 KL.
<1%
85-90m
$419 KL.
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 KL.
1%
95-100m
$269 KL.
15%
100-105m
$791 KL.
1%
105-110m
$436 KL.
5%
110-115m
$526 KL.
16%
115-120m
$1,025 KL.
30%
120-125m
$408 KL.
36%
125-130m
$1,204 KL.
20%
130m+
$307 KL.
25%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$7,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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