Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
11%
$1,868 KL.
May 31
$255 KL.
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,868Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,868Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp