Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật94% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
94% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Khối lượng
$55Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$55Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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