Jay Feely maintains a commanding position in the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary through President Trump's January endorsement and superior fundraising that exceeds $1.7 million, bolstering his visibility ahead of the July 21 contest. Recent exchanges in a May 5 televised debate and a May 7 social media clash over immigration comments have drawn scrutiny to Joseph Chaplik, the former state representative who resigned his seat in March to focus on the race. These developments, alongside Chaplik's lower cash reserves, align with the market's 71 percent implied probability for Feely versus 26 percent for Chaplik. The remaining field shows minimal movement, with most candidates holding under 1 percent as traders weigh the advantages of early institutional backing in this open seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng sơ bộ của đảng Cộng hòa AZ-01
Người chiến thắng sơ bộ của đảng Cộng hòa AZ-01
Jay Feely 72%
Joseph Chaplik 25.8%
Jason Duey 1.4%
Gina Swoboda 1.1%
$405,695 KL.
$405,695 KL.
Jay Feely
72%
Joseph Chaplik
26%
Jason Duey
1%
Gina Swoboda
1%
Matt Gress
1%
John Trobough
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Mark Brnovich
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jay Feely 72%
Joseph Chaplik 25.8%
Jason Duey 1.4%
Gina Swoboda 1.1%
$405,695 KL.
$405,695 KL.
Jay Feely
72%
Joseph Chaplik
26%
Jason Duey
1%
Gina Swoboda
1%
Matt Gress
1%
John Trobough
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Mark Brnovich
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely maintains a commanding position in the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary through President Trump's January endorsement and superior fundraising that exceeds $1.7 million, bolstering his visibility ahead of the July 21 contest. Recent exchanges in a May 5 televised debate and a May 7 social media clash over immigration comments have drawn scrutiny to Joseph Chaplik, the former state representative who resigned his seat in March to focus on the race. These developments, alongside Chaplik's lower cash reserves, align with the market's 71 percent implied probability for Feely versus 26 percent for Chaplik. The remaining field shows minimal movement, with most candidates holding under 1 percent as traders weigh the advantages of early institutional backing in this open seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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