OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced repeated service disruptions in 2026, including a major global outage on July 25 affecting ChatGPT, its APIs, and Codex, plus multiple August incidents with elevated error rates lasting 1-4 hours. These stem from infrastructure strain under surging demand, complex model deployments like GPT-5.1 mini, and backend dependencies that amplify small issues into widespread problems. Traders monitor OpenAI's status page for patterns of degraded performance, which could escalate to full outages, especially near high-traffic periods or new feature rollouts. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and Google add incentives for rapid scaling, increasing outage risks despite mitigation efforts. Current service remains operational, but the frequency of incidents shapes market views on near-term full downtime.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
12%
September 30
57%
$9,348 KL.
August 31
$9,347 KL.
12%
September 30
$2 KL.
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced repeated service disruptions in 2026, including a major global outage on July 25 affecting ChatGPT, its APIs, and Codex, plus multiple August incidents with elevated error rates lasting 1-4 hours. These stem from infrastructure strain under surging demand, complex model deployments like GPT-5.1 mini, and backend dependencies that amplify small issues into widespread problems. Traders monitor OpenAI's status page for patterns of degraded performance, which could escalate to full outages, especially near high-traffic periods or new feature rollouts. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and Google add incentives for rapid scaling, increasing outage risks despite mitigation efforts. Current service remains operational, but the frequency of incidents shapes market views on near-term full downtime.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,348Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced repeated service disruptions in 2026, including a major global outage on July 25 affecting ChatGPT, its APIs, and Codex, plus multiple August incidents with elevated error rates lasting 1-4 hours. These stem from infrastructure strain under surging demand, complex model deployments like GPT-5.1 mini, and backend dependencies that amplify small issues into widespread problems. Traders monitor OpenAI's status page for patterns of degraded performance, which could escalate to full outages, especially near high-traffic periods or new feature rollouts. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and Google add incentives for rapid scaling, increasing outage risks despite mitigation efforts. Current service remains operational, but the frequency of incidents shapes market views on near-term full downtime.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$9,348Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced repeated service disruptions in 2026, including a major global outage on July 25 affecting ChatGPT, its APIs, and Codex, plus multiple August incidents with elevated error rates lasting 1-4 hours. These stem from infrastructure strain under surging demand, complex model deployments like GPT-5.1 mini, and backend dependencies that amplify small issues into widespread problems. Traders monitor OpenAI's status page for patterns of degraded performance, which could escalate to full outages, especially near high-traffic periods or new feature rollouts. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and Google add incentives for rapid scaling, increasing outage risks despite mitigation efforts. Current service remains operational, but the frequency of incidents shapes market views on near-term full downtime.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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