Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
<48%
5%
48-51%
17%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
58%
57-60%
13%
60%+
17%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
<48%
$436 KL.
5%
48-51%
$428 KL.
17%
51-54%
$420 KL.
21%
54-57%
$441 KL.
58%
57-60%
$420 KL.
13%
60%+
$489 KL.
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,634Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$2,634Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp