Kamala Harris confirms she is 'thinking about' 2028 presidential run

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly acknowledged she is considering a 2028 presidential campaign, marking her most open remarks about her political future and maintaining her position as a top contender.

Yahoo/YouGov poll shows Gavin Newsom surging to front of Democratic primary pack

A late August 2026 Yahoo/YouGov poll showed Gavin Newsom with 21% support among Democratic-leaning voters, slightly ahead of Kamala Harris, reinforcing his front-runner status despite market price declines.

Andy Beshear hints at 2028 presidential run amid rising national profile

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Beshear’s active role in 2026 midterms and public statements about considering a presidential run increased his visibility as a potential 2028 candidate.

Jon Ossoff's Senate reelection campaign gains momentum in Georgia

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%1%

Ossoff's improving position in the 2026 Senate race increased his visibility but only modestly improved his market odds for the presidential nomination.

Pete Buttigieg leads latest Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg's poll lead reinforced his status as a top contender, contributing to a modest increase in his market price.

Kamala Harris publicly signals consideration of 2028 presidential bid

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

In late July 2026, Kamala Harris stated she was "thinking about" running for president in 2028, maintaining her frontrunner status in polls and stabilizing her market position despite competition from rising candidates.

Kamala Harris officially secures Democratic presidential nomination

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris won enough delegate votes to become the official Democratic presidential nominee, solidifying her position despite lower market odds compared to some rivals.

Kamala Harris endorses Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson after last-minute nomination

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris's endorsement of Troy Jackson on July 25, 2026, demonstrated her ongoing involvement in Democratic politics and maintained her visibility, though her market odds remained steady.

Kamala Harris signals potential 2028 run with public appearances and book tour

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Harris maintained steady polling and market support by engaging in public events and a book tour, reinforcing her position as a top contender despite no formal campaign announcement.

Pete Buttigieg signals potential 2028 presidential run in media appearances

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, while campaigning for Democrats in early primary states, indicated he is considering a 2028 presidential bid, maintaining his status as a leading candidate in early polls.

Gavin Newsom faces criticism over California's economic and social challenges

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%4%

Newsom faced scrutiny for California's high poverty and homelessness rates, which may have contributed to the decline in his market odds in mid-2026.

Emerson College poll shows Jon Ossoff tied for third in 2028 Democratic primary

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%2%

A new poll including Ossoff for the first time showed him tied with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for third place, reflecting growing recognition and supporting his rising market price.

Polling shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Polls released in late July 2026 showed Jon Ossoff gaining favor as a potential 2028 nominee, despite his public statements that he is not running, reflecting market optimism about his prospects.

Polls show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez among top Democratic contenders for 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

Recent polls placed Ocasio-Cortez as a leading contender for the Democratic presidential nomination, which corresponded with a rise in her market price and increased media attention.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez narrowly leading the Democratic field, boosting her market price from 8% to 15%. This reflected growing progressive enthusiasm and her emergence as a party ideological leader.

Poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination despite his denial

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%9%

An Emerson College poll included Jon Ossoff as a possible 2028 Democratic nominee for the first time, showing him at 13% support, increasing his market visibility despite his repeated denials of running.

Jon Ossoff climbs to second place in 2028 Democratic nomination polls despite denial of candidacy

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Polling and market data in late July showed Ossoff rising to a strong second place in the 2028 Democratic nomination race, despite his public denials of running, pushing his market price to 15%.

Poll shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading New Hampshire Democratic primary field

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

A University of New Hampshire poll released in late July 2026 showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the top pick among potential Democratic contenders, boosting her market price and signaling growing support within the party's progressive wing.

Polling shows Josh Shapiro among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

New polling placed Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro among the leading Democratic contenders for 2028, highlighting his growing national recognition and potential candidacy.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

An Emerson poll conducted July 19-20, 2026, showed Jon Ossoff receiving 13% support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and indicating his rising stature in the 2028 Democratic primary field.

Gavin Newsom publicly weighs 2028 presidential run after midterms

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

Newsom's public statements about considering a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterms increased his visibility and market interest, though his price declined slightly from earlier highs during the analysis window.

Poll shows Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination despite denial

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%2%

An Emerson College poll included Ossoff as a top choice for the 2028 Democratic nominee for the first time, showing him tied with Ocasio-Cortez and above Kamala Harris, despite his repeated denials of running.

CNN polling crowns Jon Ossoff as new frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

CNN polling data showed a surge in interest for Jon Ossoff, with Google searches up 300% and market odds climbing, marking him as a rising contender despite his public denials of running.

CNN analyst predicts Jon Ossoff could be 2028 Democratic nominee

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's rising profile and potential as the Democratic nominee, coinciding with a surge in his market price and public interest.

Jon Ossoff surges as 2028 Democratic frontrunner in CNN polling and prediction markets

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%3%

CNN polling and prediction markets showed a surge in interest for Jon Ossoff as a leading 2028 Democratic contender, coinciding with a 300% increase in Google searches and rising market odds despite his denials of running.

CNN analyst declares Jon Ossoff a frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%2%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's surge in popularity and media attention, noting his rise in prediction markets and Google searches, which boosted market confidence in his candidacy.

Jon Ossoff emerges as a top contender despite denying 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

In late July 2026, Jon Ossoff's profile surged with viral speeches and increased polling support, making him a leading contender in prediction markets even as he publicly denied plans to run for president in 2028.

Criticism mounts over Kamala Harris's viability as 2028 nominee despite polling lead

Despite leading some polls, Kamala Harris faced growing criticism from commentators and donors questioning her electability and campaign effectiveness, which kept her market odds stagnant.

Jon Ossoff surges in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic frontrunner

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%7%

Jon Ossoff's profile rose sharply due to viral campaign speeches and favorable polling, leading to a significant increase in his market odds and media recognition as a leading 2028 contender.

CNN analyst names Jon Ossoff as potential 2028 Democratic nominee frontrunner

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's rising popularity and potential as the 2028 Democratic nominee, coinciding with a surge in Google searches and market odds, boosting his perceived viability.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains renewed attention as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%2%

Ocasio-Cortez's evolving rhetoric and national tour with Bernie Sanders have increased her visibility and support among progressive Democrats ahead of 2028.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez considered a top Democratic leader with 2028 front-runner status in New Hampshire poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%4%

A New Hampshire poll showed AOC leading potential Democratic candidates for 2028, solidifying her status as a party ideological leader and increasing market interest.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains progressive support during 'Fighting Oligarchy' tour with Bernie Sanders

Ocasio-Cortez's active campaigning with Sanders energized her progressive base and media attention, supporting her market position as a leading nominee contender.

Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in Emerson poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

In the July 19-20 Emerson poll, Ossoff and Ocasio-Cortez both polled at 13%, marking a notable rise for Ossoff and reinforcing his growing stature in the race, which was reflected in market price increases.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among potential Democratic candidates for the 2028 presidential nomination, highlighting her rising influence within the party despite mixed opinions on her electability.

Jon Ossoff's 2028 presidential momentum grows amid strong fundraising and rising profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%4%

By July 20, 2026, Ossoff's fundraising success and growing national profile, including endorsements and campaign strength, boosted his market odds significantly during the analysis window.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hints at 2028 presidential run during campaign events

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while campaigning for progressive candidates, did not rule out a 2028 presidential run, signaling her ambition to change the country and energizing her progressive base.

Jon Ossoff intensifies attacks on Trump in 2026 Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%3%

Ossoff's aggressive stance against Trump and his administration during his 2026 reelection campaign raised his national profile, fueling speculation about his presidential prospects and driving up his market odds.

Jon Ossoff intensifies anti-Trump messaging in 2026 reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's strong anti-Trump rhetoric and campaign fundraising surge in mid-2026 raised his profile as a 2028 contender, impacting his market price positively after prior declines.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez with 13% support

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%3%

The Emerson poll conducted July 19-20 showed Ossoff and Ocasio-Cortez tied at 13% support for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reflecting Ossoff's rising stature in the race despite his public denials of running.

Veteran strategist James Carville says Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has no shot at 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 13%2%

On July 18, 2026, James Carville publicly stated that AOC has no chance at winning the Democratic nomination, which tempered some enthusiasm and may have contributed to a slight market correction for her odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emerges as party ideological leader amid 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

Following a New Hampshire poll showing her as a frontrunner, Ocasio-Cortez solidified her role as a progressive leader, though some Democrats remain uncertain about her presidential viability, reflected in a market rise from 8% to 14%.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with strong anti-Trump messaging and fundraising

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff increased his national profile through vocal opposition to Donald Trump and significant fundraising, positioning himself as a potential 2028 presidential candidate despite challenges in his 2026 Senate re-election race.

Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom surfaces amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Reports of a Justice Department investigation into Newsom led to negative media coverage and market skepticism, causing his nomination odds to decline during mid-July 2026.

Jon Ossoff questions Trump nominee during Senate Intelligence Committee hearing

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff publicly challenged President Trump's nominee for national intelligence director on the legitimacy of the 2020 election, raising his profile as a vocal opponent of Trump and boosting his standing as a 2028 presidential contender.

Jon Ossoff rises in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic nominee contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%12%

Senator Jon Ossoff's profile surged with viral speeches and strong fundraising, leading to increased polling support and prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Senator Jon Ossoff aggressively questions Trump nominee at Senate hearing, highlighting opposition to Trump

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

On July 15, 2026, Ossoff's pointed questioning of Jay Clayton, Trump's nominee for national intelligence director, and his vocal opposition to Trump administration policies raised his national profile and contributed to a significant rise in his market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a rising Democratic star with viral speeches

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Jon Ossoff's viral speeches criticizing Donald Trump and his growing media presence increased his profile as a potential 2028 candidate, reflected in a significant rise in market odds during July 2026.

Poll shows Gavin Newsom leading 2028 Democratic nomination race

A new poll showed Gavin Newsom leading among Democratic primary contenders for 2028, boosting his market price and reinforcing his front-runner status.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff gain in polls and prediction markets

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

By mid-July 2026, polls and prediction markets showed rising support for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, narrowing the gap with Gavin Newsom and reflecting increased public interest and speculation about their potential candidacies.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff among top 2028 Democratic contenders

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%9%

In July 2026, Emerson College polling included Jon Ossoff as a leading option for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the first time, boosting his market support from 6% to 15%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increases national campaigning and fundraising for 2028 positioning

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

AOC ramped up her national presence and fundraising efforts in mid-2026, boosting her profile as a potential 2028 candidate and contributing to her market price increase from 9% to 15%.

Jon Ossoff targets Republican opponent over Epstein files in new ad

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Ossoff's aggressive campaign tactics in his 2026 Senate race increased his visibility but did not translate into higher market odds for the presidential nomination.

Pete Buttigieg leads in Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic presidential nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg topped a new Emerson College poll as the leading choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, boosting his market odds.

Pete Buttigieg to keynote Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty & Justice dinner, signaling 2028 run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Buttigieg's keynote at a major Iowa event increased his visibility in a key early primary state, supporting a price rise from 4% to 5%.

Gavin Newsom campaigns nationally ahead of 2026 midterms, hints at 2028 run

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Newsom's national campaign tour to support Democrats and his statements about considering a 2028 presidential run after midterms helped maintain his status as a top contender, though his market price declined slightly.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads new national Democratic poll for 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 13%5%

A May 2026 AtlasIntel poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field nationally with 26% support, boosting her market odds and signaling her rising prominence as a potential candidate.

Kamala Harris signals 2028 presidential ambitions during National Action Network Convention

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

At the 2026 National Action Network Convention, Kamala Harris stated she was "thinking about" running for president in 2028, maintaining her profile as a potential candidate despite mixed reactions.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in Nevada amid criticism from Republicans

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%2%

Newsom's Nevada campaign tour to support Democrats drew Republican criticism highlighting California's issues, which may have pressured his market price downward amid concerns about electability in swing states.

Poll shows Kamala Harris beating Gavin Newsom by double digits for 2028 nomination

A July 2026 national poll found Kamala Harris leading Gavin Newsom by 17.6 points, reinforcing her early advantage in the Democratic field, though her market odds remained lower than Newsom's.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Gavin Newsom in 2028 Democratic primary

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

A July 2026 poll by Echelon Insights showed Kamala Harris with a 7-point lead over Gavin Newsom, indicating a shift in voter preference and contributing to Newsom's declining market price.

Gavin Newsom launches national tour to boost Democrats and lay groundwork for 2028 run

Gavin Newsom rises to 20%2%

Governor Gavin Newsom began a national political swing including Nevada and the South to support Democrats in the 2026 midterms and build relationships for a potential 2028 presidential campaign, influencing his market position.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in polls amid speculation of 2028 run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%7%

Ocasio-Cortez's support rose sharply in early July polls, reaching a high of 16%, as she kept her options open about a presidential run and gained recognition as a progressive leader, boosting her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in national polls and fundraising

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

AOC's increased national campaigning and fundraising efforts led to a significant rise in her polling and market price from 9% to 14%, reflecting growing support as a potential 2028 nominee.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez national campaigning and fundraising boost 2028 prospects

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

AOC increased her national presence and fundraising efforts in mid-2026, which helped raise her market price from 8% to 15% by early August, reflecting growing market confidence in her candidacy.

Reports suggest Jon Ossoff laying groundwork for 2028 presidential run with national ad buys

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Reporting indicated that Senator Jon Ossoff has spent significant campaign funds on ads in early primary and swing states outside Georgia, signaling preparation for a 2028 presidential run. This increased his market odds despite his public denials of interest.

Rahm Emanuel delivers critical speech on Israel-US relations in Tel Aviv

Emanuel's speech criticizing Netanyahu and addressing the US-Israel relationship raised his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Ocasio-Cortez and Ossoff surge in 2028 Democratic nomination prediction markets

Polymarket data showed Ocasio-Cortez and Ossoff increasing their chances significantly, with Ossoff doubling his odds to 14% and Ocasio-Cortez rising to 14%, while Newsom's odds declined, reflecting shifting market confidence.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ramps up national campaigning and fundraising for 2028 bid

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

In early July 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increased her national presence and fundraising efforts, which boosted her market price from 9% to 15% by early August, reflecting growing support.

Justice Department probe into Gavin Newsom and wife announced

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%2%

A Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom and his wife over possible tax issues related to nonprofit groups was reported, causing a decline in Newsom's market price from 21% to 19%.

Rahm Emanuel tours early primary states, signaling 2028 presidential ambitions

Rahm Emanuel's visits to New Hampshire and South Carolina, along with media appearances, indicated serious consideration of a 2028 presidential run, raising his profile among Democratic voters.

Investigation and poll damage Gavin Newsom's frontrunner status

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

Reports of a Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom and a poll showing Kamala Harris narrowly leading Newsom contributed to a decline in Newsom's market price from 24% to around 19-20%, reflecting concerns about his electability and legal challenges.

Pete Buttigieg endorses Jocelyn Benson in Michigan gubernatorial primary

Pete Buttigieg endorsed Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson for governor, signaling his active engagement in Democratic politics and maintaining his market presence around 5%.

Poll shows Kamala Harris narrowly leads Gavin Newsom in ranked-choice simulation

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A Lake Research Partners poll conducted in early May showed a competitive field with Kamala Harris narrowly leading Gavin Newsom 52% to 48% in a ranked-choice voting simulation, within the margin of error, reflecting a tight race and influencing market prices.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum with increased visibility and polling support

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%8%

Jon Ossoff's market price rose from 6% to 14% over the analysis window, with notable jumps in early July 2026 due to increased visibility and favorable polling, signaling growing viability as a nominee.

Poll reveals Democratic voters' skepticism toward Gavin Newsom's 2028 prospects

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

A Daily Mail/JL Partners poll showed 27% of Democrats supporting a Justice Department probe into Newsom, reflecting skepticism that contributed to a decline in his market price from 24% to 19% in early July.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will lead 2028 Democratic race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

On July 3, 2026, JD Vance publicly predicted that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez could be the leading Democratic candidate for 2028, boosting her market odds from 8% to 14%.

Vice President JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will lead 2028 Democratic race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

Vance's public prediction elevated Ocasio-Cortez's profile, contributing to a price increase from 8% to 14%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Endorses Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan Senate Primary

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%1%

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez waded into her first contested Senate primary of the 2026 cycle by endorsing progressive Dr. Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, signaling her growing influence and leadership within the national party.

Fox News contributor predicts Kamala Harris will be 2028 Democratic nominee

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Fox News contributor Clay Travis predicted Kamala Harris would be the Democratic nominee in 2028, citing her polling strength and support among Black voters, which reinforced her market position despite some internal party skepticism.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%3%

Republican Vice President JD Vance publicly named Ocasio-Cortez as the expected Democratic frontrunner for 2028, prompting media buzz and a viral response from Ocasio-Cortez, which further boosted her market odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds to JD Vance's prediction of her 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Following JD Vance's public prediction that Ocasio-Cortez would be the leading Democratic nominee in 2028, she responded positively, fueling speculation and increasing her market odds during early July.

Jon Ossoff denies plans to run for president in 2028 amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff dips to 10%2%

Despite rising market odds and media buzz, Jon Ossoff publicly stated he has no interest in a 2028 presidential run, which may have tempered further price increases.

JD Vance names Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as expected 2028 Democratic frontrunner

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%2%

Vice President JD Vance singled out Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the likely 2028 Democratic nominee, sparking a viral exchange and boosting her market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains media attention amid 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%7%

Despite denying plans to run, Ossoff's viral speeches and rising media profile increased his market price from 7% to 14%, reflecting growing public interest and speculation about his candidacy.

Vice President JD Vance names Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as leading 2028 Democratic candidate

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

JD Vance publicly predicted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be the leading Democratic nominee in 2028, sparking media attention and a positive market reaction that boosted her price from 8% to 9%.

Vice President JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as leading 2028 Democratic candidate

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

JD Vance publicly named Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the likely Democratic nominee for 2028, sparking media attention and a temporary boost in her market odds.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run amid mixed party support

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Harris publicly stated she was 'thinking about' running in 2028, maintaining a national profile with book tours and speeches, but faced skepticism from some major donors and party figures, resulting in modest market movement.

Gavin Newsom faces backlash over podcast with conservative guests

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

Newsom's hosting of conservative figures on his podcast and controversial comments caused backlash within the Democratic Party, leading to a decline in his market price from highs earlier in June.

Kamala Harris Reaches Out to Progressives and Pro-Palestinian Activists

Kamala Harris dips to 6%1%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris held private meetings with progressive leaders, including New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, to build bridges ahead of 2028, though the outreach drew mixed reactions and skepticism from some party factions.

Fox News Poll Shows Jon Ossoff Holding Double-Digit Lead in Georgia Senate Race

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%3%

A new Fox News poll showed incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff leading Republican challenger Mike Collins by 13 points, reinforcing his image as a highly electable and rising star in the Democratic Party.

Kamala Harris says she is 'thinking about' running in 2028 presidential election

At the National Action Network Convention on July 1, 2026, Kamala Harris publicly stated she was considering a 2028 presidential run, maintaining her market position around 9%.

AtlasIntel Poll Places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at the Top of Potential 2028 Democratic Field

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

A new AtlasIntel poll showed Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading potential Democratic contenders with 26 percent support, boosting her market odds significantly.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's cross-country tour fuels fresh 2028 presidential buzz

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

Ocasio-Cortez's national appearances and speeches, including at civil rights events, renewed speculation about her 2028 presidential ambitions, supporting a market price rise from 9% to 12%.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be the 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Vice President JD Vance singled out Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the expected 2028 Democratic frontrunner, prompting a viral response from the congresswoman and boosting her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds wryly to JD Vance's 2028 nomination prediction

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

Vice President JD Vance predicted Ocasio-Cortez as the leading Democratic candidate for 2028, and she responded with a wry smile and hopeful comment, which boosted her market price.

Jon Ossoff denies 2028 presidential run amid rising speculation

Despite rising market odds and public speculation, Ossoff repeatedly stated he has no interest in running for president in 2028, focusing instead on his Senate reelection campaign.

Senator Jon Ossoff doubles down on denial of 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff rises to 11%1%

Despite growing online support and speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, Jon Ossoff publicly denied any interest in running, emphasizing his focus on the 2026 Senate race, which paradoxically kept him in the spotlight.

Jon Ossoff Adamantly Rules Out 2028 Presidential Run

Senator Jon Ossoff doubled down on his refusal to run for president in 2028, stating he is laser-focused on his Georgia Senate reelection campaign, which cooled his rising market odds.

Senator Jon Ossoff Reiterates He Has Zero Interest in Running for President in 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Despite growing online support and media speculation, Senator Jon Ossoff issued a firm statement denying any interest in a 2028 presidential run, calling the chatter a distraction.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds to JD Vance's prediction of her 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

JD Vance publicly predicted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be the leading Democratic candidate for president in 2028. Ocasio-Cortez's wry and noncommittal response was widely reported, fueling speculation and boosting her market odds from 9% to 14%.

AOC Responds to JD Vance's Prediction That She Will Be the 2028 Democratic Nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%1%

Vice President JD Vance predicted that Ocasio-Cortez would be the Democratic nominee in 2028, prompting a quick-witted response from her that fueled further media buzz and raised her market odds.

Jon Ossoff Adamantly Denies 2028 Presidential Ambitions

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Despite a surge in prediction market odds and national buzz, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly ruled out a 2028 presidential run, stating he is entirely focused on his competitive 2026 Georgia Senate reelection race.

Jon Ossoff publicly denies 2028 presidential ambitions, emphasizing focus on 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

Despite rising speculation and market odds, Jon Ossoff reiterated he is not running for president in 2028, focusing on his 2026 Senate reelection, which tempered some market enthusiasm but maintained his elevated profile.

Vice President JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

JD Vance publicly named Ocasio-Cortez as the likely Democratic nominee in 2028, which sparked media attention and a subtle but positive response from Ocasio-Cortez, boosting her market price significantly.

Jon Ossoff reiterates he is not running for president in 2028 amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff dips to 6%3%

Despite rising market odds and media speculation, Ossoff publicly denied any interest in running for president in 2028, focusing on his 2026 Senate reelection campaign, which caused some market fluctuations.

Jon Ossoff Reiterates He Has No Interest in Running for President in 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 11%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff flatly denied any presidential ambitions to CNN, stating he is laser-focused on his Georgia Senate reelection campaign.

Senator Jon Ossoff flatly denies 2028 presidential ambitions to CNN

Senator Jon Ossoff reiterated that he is not running for president in 2028 and is entirely focused on his Georgia Senate reelection campaign, temporarily cooling some market speculation.

Kamala Harris courts progressive leaders amid 2028 presidential speculation

Kamala Harris reached out to progressive figures like NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, signaling possible 2028 ambitions, but this did not significantly boost her market price, which remained low.

Senator Jon Ossoff publicly rules out 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff dips to 9%1%

On June 29, 2026, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he would not launch a presidential campaign for 2028, despite rising speculation and social media buzz. This announcement likely contributed to a temporary price dip or slowed growth in his nomination odds.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies boost 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign rallies in Georgia went viral, showcasing his sharp criticism of Donald Trump and resonating with Democratic voters. Despite his repeated denials of interest in running for president, his rising profile and fundraising success increased his market odds from 6% to 10%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez cruises to primary victory, fueling 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

Ocasio-Cortez's decisive primary win in New York solidified her position as a leading progressive voice and increased speculation about a 2028 presidential run, reflected in her market price rising from 9% to 12%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins Democratic primary, boosting 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

AOC's decisive primary victory in New York solidified her position as a leading progressive voice and increased speculation about a 2028 presidential run, reflected in her market price rising from 9% to 12%.

Tucker Carlson reveals Trump views Gavin Newsom as a 2028 threat

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%1%

Conservative commentator Tucker Carlson disclosed that former President Donald Trump considers Gavin Newsom a viable contender for the 2028 Democratic nomination, which reinforced Newsom's frontrunner status despite ongoing challenges.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear positions for 2028 presidential run during 2026 midterms campaign

Andy Beshear dips to 2%4%

Beshear's active campaigning for Democrats in key 2026 races and his moderate positioning in a red state increased his visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear campaigns in key 2026 races, signaling 2028 ambitions

Beshear's active campaigning and high approval ratings in a red state increased market confidence, reflected in his price stabilizing around 2%.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gains traction as potential 2028 presidential candidate

Andy Beshear dips to 2%1%

By mid-2026, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear was gaining popularity and polling as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, rising to around 2-3% in markets and polls, reflecting growing national attention.

Andy Beshear positions himself for 2028 presidential run during midterms campaign

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear actively campaigned for Democrats in 2026 midterms while signaling his intention to run for president in 2028, enhancing his national profile and market interest.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies boost 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%5%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign rallies gained viral attention, increasing his national profile and market odds despite his repeated denials of presidential ambitions. This energized Democratic voters and raised his viability as a 2028 contender.

Poll places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as leading 2028 Democratic candidate

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

An AtlasIntel poll showed Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field with 26% support, surpassing Harris and Newsom. This boosted her market odds from 8% to 14%, reflecting increased confidence in her candidacy.

New poll shows Kamala Harris's support waning amid calls for fresh Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A poll and donor sentiment in late June indicated declining enthusiasm for Kamala Harris's 2028 bid, with party leaders favoring fresh faces, contributing to her market price decline from 9% to 7%.

Poll shows Kamala Harris's early lead tightening as Newsom and Ocasio-Cortez gain support

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A McLaughlin poll indicated a tightening race among top Democratic contenders, with Kamala Harris's support declining while Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gained ground, reflecting shifting voter preferences.

Gavin Newsom and Wife Under Federal Investigation, Governor Claims Political Motivation

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that he and his wife are under federal investigation, framing the probe as a politically motivated attack by Donald Trump due to his 2028 presidential ambitions.

McLaughlin & Associates Poll Shows Kamala Harris Leading 2028 Field but with Tightening Support

A new national survey showed Kamala Harris leading Democratic voters with 26% support, but her early dominant lead continued to tighten as other potential candidates gained traction.

Kamala Harris market price declines amid skepticism about 2028 run

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Despite earlier hints at running, skepticism grew about Harris's chances for the 2028 nomination, reflected in a market price decline from 9% to 6%, as some commentators questioned her viability and recent political impact.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduces AI Data Center Moratorium Act

Ocasio-Cortez sponsored legislation addressing AI regulation, highlighting her progressive policy focus and maintaining her national profile ahead of 2028.

Tucker Carlson reveals Trump views Gavin Newsom as viable 2028 Democratic nominee

Conservative commentator Tucker Carlson disclosed that former President Donald Trump considers Gavin Newsom a strong contender for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reinforcing Newsom's frontrunner status despite challenges.

Andy Beshear’s support rises in polls for 2028 presidential speculation

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear showed a notable increase in polling support for a potential 2028 presidential run, reflecting growing recognition of his moderate appeal and electoral success in a red state.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins primary, fueling 2028 presidential bid speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's easy primary victory in New York boosted her political clout and reignited speculation about a 2028 presidential run, leading to increased market prices for her nomination chances.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear signals 2028 presidential interest

Andy Beshear has made media appearances and comments indicating he is considering a 2028 presidential run, supported by high approval ratings and bipartisan appeal, though he has not formally announced.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secures Democratic nomination for New York’s 14th Congressional District

Ocasio-Cortez's renomination solidified her political base and maintained her national profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Cruises to Primary Victory as Socialists Sweep New York

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%3%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez easily defeated her primary challenger Marty Dolan, while three Democratic Socialists of America candidates swept their own primaries in New York City, boosting her 2028 presidential speculation.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez receives Democratic nomination for New York’s 14th Congressional District

Ocasio-Cortez securing her House nomination reinforced her political standing and potential as a 2028 presidential contender, impacting her market price positively.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins New York Democratic primary

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%1%

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez easily defeated a primary challenger in New York's 14th District, solidifying her political standing and fueling speculation about a 2028 run.

Gavin Newsom aligns with Joe Biden ahead of 2028 presidential cycle

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

Newsom cultivated closer ties with Joe Biden and his political circle, praising Biden's legislative record, which helped maintain his frontrunner status despite some market volatility.

Gavin Newsom embraces Joe Biden ahead of 2028 primary

Gavin Newsom publicly aligned himself with Joe Biden, betting that embracing the former president would be more popular among Democrats than distancing himself. This strategic positioning aimed to consolidate support within the party for his 2028 bid.

Gavin Newsom aligns closely with Joe Biden ahead of 2028 presidential cycle

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%1%

Axios reported that Gavin Newsom has been cultivating closer ties with Joe Biden and his political circle, emphasizing Biden's legislative record to secure Democratic goodwill. This strategic positioning reinforced Newsom's frontrunner status, maintaining his market lead despite a slight price dip.

Jon Ossoff's Campaign Raises Over $1 Million in 24 Hours Following GOP Runoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

Following the confirmation of his Republican opponent, Ossoff's general election campaign raised over $1 million in a single day, demonstrating his formidable fundraising power and national appeal.

Analysis Highlights Jon Ossoff as a Rising 2028 Democratic Presidential Contender

Jon Ossoff dips to 9%1%

On June 18, 2026, media analysis emphasized Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on his 2026 Senate race success. This coverage reinforced market confidence, sustaining his elevated price near 10%.

Jon Ossoff seen as 2028 presidential prospect but must win 2026 Senate race

Analysis highlighted Ossoff as a potential 2028 candidate contingent on winning his 2026 Senate reelection in Georgia, affecting his market price which had declined due to election risks.

Media highlights Jon Ossoff as rising Democratic star and 2028 contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

On June 18, media coverage emphasized Ossoff's growing momentum and appeal as a young, authentic Democratic leader with strong fundraising and viral campaign videos, reinforcing his status as a leading 2028 presidential prospect and supporting the market price increase to 10%.

Jon Ossoff's 2026 Senate campaign boosts 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Media coverage highlighted Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on his 2026 Senate race success. His viral campaign speeches and fundraising momentum increased market confidence, raising his nomination odds from 6% to 9%.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with viral campaign speech in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff's 30-minute campaign speech in Atlanta went viral, boosting his profile and contributing to a rise in his market price from 7% to 10% in mid-June.

Jon Ossoff gains attention as a 2028 Democratic prospect amid Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff, while focused on his 2026 Senate reelection in Georgia, gained national attention as a potential 2028 presidential candidate due to his strong opposition to Trump and effective campaigning, influencing market perceptions of his viability.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies fuel 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Senator Jon Ossoff's energetic and viral campaign speeches increased his visibility and market odds from 6% to 10%, despite his repeated denials of presidential ambitions. His appeal as a Southern Democrat in a swing state attracted attention as a potential future nominee.

New York Times Opinion Piece Boosts Jon Ossoff as Ideal 2028 Presidential Candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%4%

A prominent opinion piece by Michelle Goldberg in The New York Times detailed why Jon Ossoff is seen as an ideal candidate to bridge party divides, sparking national buzz and driving his prediction market price to its peak.

Media analysis highlights Jon Ossoff's rising 2028 presidential prospects after Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Media coverage emphasized Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on his 2026 Senate race success, reinforcing market confidence and sustaining his elevated price near 10%.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral campaign speech boosting 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%9%

Ossoff's May 31 rally speech went viral, increasing his profile and market odds despite his repeated denials of a 2028 presidential run, contributing to his price rise from 6% to 15%.

Jon Ossoff Floated as 2028 Contender Ahead of Crucial 2026 Reelection Test

Jon Ossoff dips to 10%2%

Media analysis highlighted Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate, noting that a victory in his highly competitive 2026 Georgia Senate race would prove his broad appeal.

Prediction Markets Price Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender While Gavin Newsom Cools Off

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%3%

Traders heavily backed Jon Ossoff in 2028 nomination contracts, closing his gap with other top contenders, while former frontrunner Gavin Newsom experienced a slight decline in his market share.

Jon Ossoff emerges as a top 2028 Democratic prospect amid re-election campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

Ossoff's rising profile as a potential 2028 candidate was highlighted by media and political analysts, despite his focus on winning the 2026 Senate race, boosting his polling and market odds from 9% to 12%.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender amid Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%6%

Jon Ossoff's rising profile as a young, charismatic leader and his active campaign for Senate reelection increased his visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, with market price peaking at 13% on June 17 before settling at 9%.

Federal investigation announced into Gavin Newsom and his wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom disclosed a federal investigation into himself and his wife, raising questions about the impact on his 2028 presidential ambitions and causing a decline in his market price.

Jon Ossoff Becomes Internet Sensation and Potential 2028 Contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%5%

National media highlighted Senator Jon Ossoff's growing momentum and viral campaign videos, framing him as a leading next-generation prospect for the 2028 nomination.

Federal probe into California Gov. Gavin Newsom raises doubts about 2028 run

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%7%

The Washington Post reported that Newsom’s office confirmed a federal investigation into his administration on June 17. The announcement sparked speculation that legal trouble could derail a 2028 presidential bid, prompting the market’s price for Newsom to fall from a high of 27 % on June 15 to 20 % by July 1.

Gavin Newsom reveals federal investigation, boosting 2028 nomination odds

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced a Department of Justice investigation, which increased media attention and paradoxically boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds despite potential risks.

Federal investigation into Gavin Newsom raises questions but may bolster his 2028 chances

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%1%

Newsom announced he and his wife are under federal investigation, which initially caused some market uncertainty but ultimately may have rallied Democratic voters around him, keeping his price near 24-25% before a slight decline.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rally sparks 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 12%5%

Ossoff's viral speech and growing online support increased his market odds from 7% to 12%, despite his public denials of presidential ambitions, reflecting rising enthusiasm among Democrats.

DOJ probe into Gavin Newsom could affect 2028 presidential ambitions

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%5%

A Washington Post report revealed that the DOJ had opened a federal investigation into Governor Gavin Newsom and his wife. The news sparked speculation that the probe could either damage his presidential prospects or rally Democratic voters, prompting a modest but noticeable decline in Newsom’s market price from the mid‑20s to the low‑20 % range by the end of June.

Jon Ossoff Profiled as Rising Internet Sensation and Potential 2028 Contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

A major profile by The New York Times highlighted Jon Ossoff's growing status as a Democratic internet sensation and potential 2028 presidential candidate, boosting his market odds.

New York Times Opinion Piece Asks 'Why Everyone Wants Jon Ossoff to Run for President'

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%5%

A prominent New York Times opinion piece by Michelle Goldberg detailed why Jon Ossoff is seen as an ideal 2028 presidential candidate, sparking national buzz and driving his prediction market price to a peak.

Gavin Newsom announces federal investigation amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%5%

Newsom publicly revealed that he and his wife were under federal investigation, which introduced uncertainty about his presidential prospects. While some Democrats rallied around him viewing the probe as politically motivated, the market price for his nomination odds declined from 25% to around 20%.

Jon Ossoff's Senate runoff against Mike Collins intensifies 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

The June 16 runoff election in Georgia between Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins heightened Ossoff's profile as a 2028 presidential contender, leading to a significant increase in his market odds.

Mike Collins Wins Georgia GOP Senate Runoff, Setting Up High-Stakes Race Against Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

The conclusion of the Georgia Republican primary runoff set up a high-stakes general election matchup, boosting Ossoff's national profile and 2028 presidential speculation.

Kamala Harris signals possible 2028 presidential run during Vienna visit

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris hinted at a 2028 presidential bid during a public appearance in Vienna, reinforcing her status as a frontrunner and maintaining steady market interest.

Jon Ossoff Publicly Rejects 2028 Presidential Speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

Despite growing chatter and rising prediction market odds, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he has zero interest in running for president in 2028, calling the speculation a distraction.

Georgia GOP Senate primary runoff concludes with Mike Collins as nominee to face Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

The Republican primary runoff ended with Mike Collins winning, setting up a high-stakes general election against Jon Ossoff. The divided GOP primary and Collins' nomination improved Ossoff's reelection outlook and boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds from 6% to 9%.

Republican Mike Collins wins Georgia Senate runoff, setting up tough race against Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Mike Collins won the Republican runoff, becoming Jon Ossoff's opponent in the 2026 Senate election. This improved Ossoff's reelection outlook and boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds, as a strong Senate position is seen as a stepping stone for presidential ambitions.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral 30-minute campaign speech boosting 2028 contender buzz

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign speech in Atlanta increased his national profile and market confidence as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, contributing to a price rise from 9% to 10%.

Trump-Endorsed Mike Collins Wins Georgia GOP Senate Runoff to Face Jon Ossoff

Representative Mike Collins won the Republican runoff, setting up a high-stakes Senate battle against Jon Ossoff, who is widely viewed as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender.

California Governor Gavin Newsom announces DOJ investigation into him

Gavin Newsom drops to 21%5%

Newsom revealed that the US Department of Justice is investigating him, which raised concerns and led to a decline in his market price from 26% to 21%. This legal scrutiny affected perceptions of his viability as the 2028 Democratic nominee.

Gavin Newsom opposes California billionaire tax amid political pressure

Gavin Newsom drops to 21%5%

Newsom mounted a campaign to stop a proposed California billionaire tax, which was seen as a political battle affecting his image and market odds. This opposition coincided with a decline in his market price as concerns about affordability and political challenges grew.

Democrats praise Jon Ossoff as rising star and potential 2028 contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

Democratic commentators and media outlets highlighted Ossoff's strong campaign and appeal, dubbing him a top contender for 2028. This positive buzz contributed to his market price peaking at 9% on June 13 and sustaining elevated interest.

Gavin Newsom reveals DOJ investigation into him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that the Department of Justice opened an investigation into him, which he claimed was politically motivated. This development introduced political risk and contributed to a decline in his market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains 2028 presidential buzz with viral anti-Trump speech

Jon Ossoff plunges to 9%41%

Senator Jon Ossoff's viral speech criticizing Donald Trump increased his profile as a potential 2028 candidate, despite his public denials, leading to a rise in market odds and fundraising success.

Gavin Newsom Preemptively Discloses Federal Investigation Into Himself and His Wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom released a video announcing that he and his wife are under federal investigation, claiming the probe is politically motivated due to his 2028 presidential ambitions.

Gavin Newsom Accuses Trump Administration of Directing Politically Motivated DOJ Investigation Against Him and His Wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom released a video claiming that he and his wife are under federal investigation by the Department of Justice, which he argued was a politically motivated attack targeting him as a potential 2028 presidential contender.

California Governor Gavin Newsom accuses DOJ of politically motivated investigation

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%2%

Newsom publicly claimed that the Trump administration's DOJ was investigating him and his wife as political retaliation linked to his potential 2028 presidential run. This controversy contributed to volatility and a slight decline in his market odds.

Gavin Newsom Announces He and His Wife Are Under Federal Investigation

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that he and his wife are under a federal DOJ investigation, claiming it is a politically motivated attack by Donald Trump due to his 2028 presidential ambitions.

Gavin Newsom maintains lead amid ongoing 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%2%

Despite some price fluctuations, Gavin Newsom's market price stabilized around 25% as he continued to be viewed as the early front-runner for the 2028 Democratic nomination, supported by his public statements and political positioning.

Federal investigation announced into Gavin Newsom and his wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly disclosed a federal investigation into himself and his wife, which raised concerns about his presidential prospects. While some Democrats might rally around him if the probe is seen as politically motivated, the announcement caused a decline in his market odds.

Gavin Newsom rises in 2028 Democratic nomination odds amid DOJ investigation speculation

Gavin Newsom rises to 21%3%

Newsom's odds increased as he became the top contender in prediction markets, driven by reports of a DOJ investigation he framed as politically motivated, raising his profile and market confidence.

Politico Highlights Jon Ossoff as a Strong Potential 2028 Democratic Ticket Contender

An analysis by Politico argued that Georgia Senators Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock are highly likely to be on the 2028 Democratic ticket, highlighting Ossoff's appeal as an articulate, next-generation candidate.

Poll shows Pete Buttigieg surging past Kamala Harris in 2028 Democratic primary support

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

A new poll indicated Pete Buttigieg overtaking Kamala Harris in Democratic primary support, signaling challenges for Harris's candidacy and contributing to a decline in her market price during this period.

Gavin Newsom announces federal DOJ investigation amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly revealed that he and his wife are under investigation by the Department of Justice, which he claims is politically motivated by President Donald Trump due to his potential 2028 presidential run. This announcement led to a decline in Newsom's market price from the mid-20s to the low 20% range, reflecting uncertainty about his candidacy.

Jon Stewart addresses 2028 presidential run speculation

Jon Stewart acknowledged public calls for him to run for president in 2028, attributing the interest to public dissatisfaction, but has not committed to a campaign, keeping his market odds low.

Newsom's DOJ investigation raises his 2028 presidential odds

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%2%

Newsom's revelation of a Department of Justice investigation in mid-June 2026 paradoxically boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds, reflecting increased media attention and political positioning.

Jon Ossoff gains national attention as 2028 contender amid Senate reelection

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Senator Jon Ossoff's rising profile and viral campaign style have made him a notable 2028 Democratic contender, though he publicly denies presidential ambitions, contributing to fluctuating market odds.

The 2028 Democratic ticket speculation grows around Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

Political analysis suggested Ossoff as a key figure in the 2028 Democratic ticket, increasing market interest and supporting his price rise to 9%. This speculation was tied to his strong social media presence and campaign momentum.

Media profiles tout Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff as potential 2028 unity candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Major features in the New York Times and Politico highlighted Senator Jon Ossoff's strong reelection polling and potential as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender, causing his prediction market odds to surge.

DOJ investigation into Gavin Newsom and wife surfaces amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

Newsom revealed that the Department of Justice is investigating him and his wife, which he claims is politically motivated due to his potential 2028 presidential run. This news added controversy and pressure, contributing to a decline in his market price.

Gavin Newsom announces balanced California state budget for 2026-27

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%2%

Newsom's announcement of a balanced state budget on June 15, 2026, reinforced his image as a capable leader, briefly boosting his market odds before a gradual decline later in the window.

Gavin Newsom announces federal investigation into himself and wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%2%

Newsom publicly revealed a federal investigation into him and his wife, which briefly dented his presidential odds as concerns about his viability surfaced, contributing to a price decline from 25% to around 21%.

Gavin Newsom Claims DOJ Opened Investigation Into Him and His Wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom reported that the Department of Justice opened an investigation into him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, which he claimed was politically motivated.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Democratic 2028 field with strong support

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A poll released in mid-June showed Kamala Harris leading the Democratic field with 50% support among Democrats, reinforcing her position as a top contender despite a slight decline in market odds later.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum in Democratic nomination market

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's market price rose from 7% to 9% by June 13, 2026, reflecting growing perception of his viability as a candidate, bolstered by his Senate race performance and broad appeal within the Democratic Party.

Gavin Newsom confirms he is evaluating a 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

Gavin Newsom publicly stated he is seriously considering a 2028 presidential run following the 2026 congressional elections, reinforcing his frontrunner status. This announcement helped stabilize his market price around 24-25%.

Gavin Newsom Hosts Hunter Biden on Podcast for Extended Interview

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom hosted Hunter Biden on his podcast for a 95-minute interview, drawing national media attention to his platform as he continues to build his national profile ahead of a potential 2028 run.

Pete Buttigieg to keynote Iowa Democratic event, fueling 2028 speculation

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 12%7%

Pete Buttigieg was announced as the keynote speaker for a major Iowa Democratic event, signaling his continued national presence and fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Opinion piece argues Kamala Harris should not be 2028 Democratic nominee

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A USA Today opinion column criticized Kamala Harris's chances and highlighted her 2024 loss and perceived lack of progress, which likely contributed to her stagnant market price during June 2026.

Hunter Biden jokes about running as Gavin Newsom's VP in 2028

During Gavin Newsom's podcast, Hunter Biden jokingly said he would run in 2028 only as Newsom's vice president, which attracted media attention and briefly influenced market sentiment around Newsom's campaign positioning.

Early polling shows Kamala Harris as 2028 Democratic frontrunner with Gavin Newsom second

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Polls in June 2026 confirmed Kamala Harris leading the Democratic field, with Gavin Newsom consistently in second place, reflecting the early sorting of the field and influencing market prices accordingly.

Joe Biden hints at 2028 run but only as Gavin Newsom's vice president

Gavin Newsom rises to 26%2%

On June 11, 2026, President Joe Biden hinted at a 2028 presidential run but stated he would only run as Gavin Newsom's vice president, reinforcing Newsom's frontrunner status and impacting his market price.

Opinion piece criticizes Gavin Newsom's 2028 prospects amid Midwest skepticism

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

An opinion article highlighted skepticism about Gavin Newsom's appeal in key Midwestern states, citing his COVID-19 restrictions and French Laundry dining scandal, which contributed to a decline in his market odds.

New York Times Opinion Piece Boosts Jon Ossoff as Ideal 2028 Candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

An influential opinion piece by Michelle Goldberg in The New York Times argued that Ossoff is the ideal candidate for the 2028 Democratic nomination, further fueling prediction market interest despite his denials.

Former backers urge Kamala Harris to step aside for fresh 2028 Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Reports emerged that some of Kamala Harris's former supporters prefer new faces for the 2028 nomination, citing a need for a fresh candidate. This sentiment contributed to a decline in her market odds from 9% to 6%.

Kamala Harris' 2028 Ambitions Face Blow as Former Backers Seek Fresh Faces

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Reports emerged that former allies and major donors are unenthusiastic about a repeat performance by Kamala Harris, preferring a fresh candidate for the 2028 ticket.

Jon Ossoff's Senate prominence and fundraising boost his profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising and visibility as a key Democratic figure in Georgia increased his appeal as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, contributing to a steady rise in his market price from 6% to 8%.

Kamala Harris faces declining support as backers seek fresh Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris's 2028 presidential ambitions faced skepticism from major donors and party leaders who preferred fresh faces, contributing to a decline in her market odds during this period.

Former allies express doubts about Kamala Harris's 2028 presidential prospects, favoring fresh candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Reports emerged that influential Democratic donors and former supporters of Kamala Harris prefer a fresh candidate for 2028, leading to a decline in her market price from 9% to 7%.

Andy Beshear announces Kentucky's record tourism year in 2025

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear announced 2025 as the state's best tourism year ever, highlighting economic growth and boosting his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, reflected in a slight market increase from 2% to 3%.

Kamala Harris faces skepticism from former allies seeking fresh Democratic faces

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Reports revealed that some former supporters of Harris prefer new candidates like Newsom or Ocasio-Cortez, dampening enthusiasm for her 2028 bid and contributing to a decline in her market odds.

Kentucky tourism hits record $14.6 billion economic impact in 2025

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Beshear highlighted Kentucky's tourism growth as part of his successful governance record, bolstering his national profile and presidential prospects.

Kamala Harris faces donor skepticism for 2028 bid

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Reports emerged that some of Harris's 2024 backers were hesitant to support her 2028 campaign, citing concerns about appeal to swing voters. This likely contributed to a slight decline or stagnation in her market price.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear announces 2025 was state's biggest tourism year

Beshear's announcement of record tourism success in Kentucky highlighted his effective governance and growing national profile, supporting his 2028 presidential prospects.

Kamala Harris admits thinking about 2028 presidential run amid mixed donor enthusiasm

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Kamala Harris publicly acknowledged considering a 2028 presidential bid, but reports indicated lukewarm enthusiasm from major donors and some party figures, reflecting uncertainty about her prospects and impacting her market position.

Jon Ossoff publicly denies 2028 presidential run amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff emphatically stated he is not running for president in 2028, focusing instead on his tight Senate reelection campaign in Georgia. Despite his denial, prediction markets doubled his odds, reflecting increased investor belief in his potential candidacy.

Jon Ossoff viral anti-Trump speech sparks 2028 front-runner predictions

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a viral speech sharply criticizing Donald Trump, which led to increased market interest and a rise in his odds as a potential 2028 Democratic nominee, despite his public denials of interest in running.

Kamala Harris purchases $8.15 million Malibu home amid 2028 speculation

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Kamala Harris and her husband bought a high-profile Malibu mansion in June 2026, signaling personal and political stability that may influence perceptions of her 2028 candidacy, though her market price slightly declined from 8% to 7% by mid-June amid mixed donor enthusiasm.

Jon Ossoff Rejects 2028 Presidential Speculation as 'Fantasy Football'

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%1%

Despite growing online enthusiasm and comparisons to Barack Obama, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he has zero interest in running for president in 2028, urging Democrats to focus on the 2026 midterms.

Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

As Senator Jon Ossoff's 2026 Senate reelection campaign gained momentum, prediction markets began warming to him as a potential 2028 presidential contender, lifting his odds.

Prediction markets warm to Jon Ossoff as 2028 contender amid strong Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Jon Ossoff's market price rose as prediction markets recognized his viability for 2028, boosted by his strong position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race and broad appeal within the Democratic Party.

Rahm Emanuel tests 2028 presidential bid with campaign efforts in New Hampshire

Emanuel's campaign activities in New Hampshire, a key early primary state, serve as a test of his viability for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Gina Raimondo Rules Out 2028 Presidential Run, Endorses Open Primary

Former Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo distanced herself from the 2028 presidential race, pouring cold water on a potential run and advocating for a competitive, open primary for the Democratic ticket.

New York Times publishes opinion piece highlighting Jon Ossoff as ideal 2028 candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

An influential New York Times opinion article published on June 8, 2026, praised Jon Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, boosting his market odds from 7% to 9% by June 13, signaling growing perception of his viability despite his denials of presidential ambitions.

Jon Ossoff gains national attention with viral campaign speeches

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Ossoff's viral speeches and effective messaging increased his profile and fundraising, leading to a rise in his market odds from about 6% to 10% and beyond.

New York Times Opinion Piece Boosts Jon Ossoff's Profile as Ideal 2028 Candidate

An influential opinion piece in The New York Times highlighted Senator Jon Ossoff as a premier potential 2028 candidate, sparking a wave of online enthusiasm and driving his market price upward.

Media profiles and rising buzz position Senator Jon Ossoff as a potential 2028 unity candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Prominent features in national outlets like the New York Times and Politico touted Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff as a leading 2028 contender, causing his prediction market odds to rise.

Op-Ed praises Jon Ossoff as compelling anti-corruption messenger for 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

A New York Times opinion piece highlighted Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, boosting his profile as a potential 2028 nominee. This positive media coverage contributed to a gradual increase in his market price during June.

Jon Ossoff viral anti-Trump speech sparks 2028 front-runner predictions

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a viral speech sharply criticizing Donald Trump, which increased his national profile and led to predictions that he could become a front-runner for the 2028 Democratic nomination. This boosted market confidence in Ossoff's chances.

The New York Times publishes opinion piece highlighting Jon Ossoff as ideal 2028 candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

An influential New York Times opinion article titled "Why Everyone Wants Jon Ossoff to Run for President" was published, boosting Ossoff's profile and market odds from 7% to 9% by June 13. The piece emphasized Ossoff's appeal and potential despite his denials of presidential ambitions, increasing market enthusiasm.

New York Times Column Highlights Growing Democratic Desire for Jon Ossoff Presidential Run

An influential opinion piece in The New York Times detailed why Democrats are increasingly viewing Senator Jon Ossoff as an ideal 2028 presidential contender, boosting his national profile.

Op-Ed highlights Jon Ossoff as a compelling 2028 Democratic presidential prospect

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

A New York Times opinion piece praised Jon Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, increasing market interest in his potential 2028 presidential candidacy despite his denials. This media attention coincided with a price increase from 7% to 9%.

Kamala Harris faces donor skepticism and calls for fresh Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris, considering a 2028 presidential bid, encountered skepticism from some former donors and supporters who expressed a preference for new, fresh voices in the Democratic Party. This sentiment contributed to a decline in her market price from 9% to 7%.

New York Times highlights Jon Ossoff as a compelling 2028 Democratic prospect

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

The New York Times published an opinion piece praising Jon Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, comparing him to Barack Obama and positioning him as an ideal 2028 candidate. This media endorsement contributed to a rise in his market odds from 7% to 9%.

Jon Ossoff praised as Democratic dream for 2028 in New York Times op-ed

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

A June 7 op-ed highlighted Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, contributing to his market rise from 8% to 10% and increasing his visibility as a 2028 contender.

Jon Ossoff criticizes Trump and allies at Atlanta rally, energizing Democratic base

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

At a campaign rally in Atlanta, Jon Ossoff sharply criticized Donald Trump, JD Vance, and Stephen Miller, framing Americans as united by ideas rather than ethnicity. This speech helped rally Democratic supporters and contributed to Ossoff's rising market price.

Rahm Emanuel to assail Netanyahu in Tel Aviv speech amid shifting US-Israel relations

Emanuel's high-profile speech criticizing Netanyahu and addressing US-Israel relations raised his national profile and fueled speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run at National Action Network event

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris stated she is "thinking about" running again in 2028, briefly supporting her market price around 7-9%, though her odds later declined amid skepticism about her viability.

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Ends in Runoff to Challenge Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

The Republican primary to challenge Senator Jon Ossoff ended in a runoff between Mike Collins and Derek Dooley. The failure of the GOP to quickly unite behind a single challenger boosted Ossoff's reelection outlook and his 2028 presidential market odds.

Jon Ossoff pressures Georgia Democratic Party Chair to step down

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Ossoff exerted influence behind the scenes to oust Nikema Williams as Georgia Democratic Party Chair, citing concerns about her dual roles and leadership effectiveness. This internal party conflict highlighted Ossoff's strategic positioning ahead of his reelection campaign, impacting market sentiment.

Josh Shapiro and Stacy Garrity prepare for Pennsylvania gubernatorial showdown

The upcoming Pennsylvania governor race between Josh Shapiro and Stacy Garrity has drawn national attention, with Shapiro's strong position bolstering his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, supporting his market odds.

Jon Ossoff holds major campaign rally in Atlanta boosting reelection and 2028 profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff held a joint campaign rally with gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms, energizing the Democratic base and increasing his visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, contributing to his market price rise from 5% to 7%.

Kamala Harris leads new polls as potential 2028 Democratic nominee

Kamala Harris rises to 10%1%

Multiple polls in early June showed Kamala Harris leading the Democratic field with significant support, boosting her market odds temporarily despite later declines.

Gavin Newsom maintains lead in fragmented 2028 Democratic nomination market

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

Despite fluctuations, Newsom remains the front-runner with about 25% market probability, reflecting sustained trader confidence.

Gavin Newsom hits peak market support amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%3%

Newsom's market price peaked at 27% on June 1, 2026, reflecting heightened optimism about his candidacy following his final State of the State speech and increased media attention positioning him as a leading contender.

Jon Ossoff centers 2026 campaign on rooting out corruption amid opponent scandals

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%8%

Ossoff's focus on anti-corruption messaging amid opponent scandals helped solidify his position in the Senate race, influencing his market price.

Gavin Newsom faces backlash over remarks during book tour stop in Atlanta

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%5%

Newsom's comments about his SAT score and struggles with dyslexia during his Atlanta book tour stop sparked criticism from conservatives and LGBTQ+ advocates, contributing to a decline in his market price from 25% to 20%.

Gavin Newsom signals 2028 presidential ambitions after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%4%

Gavin Newsom publicly stated he is considering a 2028 presidential run, indicating he will decide after the 2026 midterm elections. This announcement increased market confidence in his nomination chances, pushing his price from 23% to 27%.

Jon Ossoff faces criticism for vote to limit U.S. weapons sales to Israel

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Following his vote supporting resolutions to restrict arms sales to Israel, Ossoff faced backlash from Jewish leaders and community members in Georgia, including criticism from the Israeli consul general and his childhood synagogue's rabbi. This controversy likely influenced market perceptions, contributing to Ossoff's price increase.

Jon Ossoff centers reelection campaign on rooting out corruption

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff emphasized anti-corruption in his 2026 reelection campaign, energizing his base and maintaining his market position despite a challenging race.

Josh Shapiro positions himself for 2028 presidential run amid reelection campaign

Josh Shapiro plunges to 5%45%

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro launched his 2026 reelection campaign while signaling national ambitions for 2028, increasing his visibility and market interest despite his public reluctance to discuss a presidential bid.

Jon Ossoff Delivers Major Campaign Speech in Atlanta Rally

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

On May 31, 2026, Jon Ossoff gave a 30-minute campaign speech in Atlanta, emphasizing his opposition to Trump and appealing to a broad coalition. This event increased his visibility and contributed to a gradual rise in his market price from 5% to 7% in early June.

Mike Collins wins Georgia GOP Senate runoff, setting up high-stakes battle against Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Mike Collins secured the Republican nomination for the 2026 Georgia Senate race, endorsed by Donald Trump, setting up a competitive race against incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff. This heightened Ossoff's profile and market interest in his potential 2028 presidential run, contributing to his price rise from 5% to 7%.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral campaign speech in Atlanta rally

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Jon Ossoff's 30-minute campaign speech in Atlanta energized his supporters and increased his visibility as a 2028 presidential prospect, contributing to a rise in his market odds from 6% to 7% shortly after.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral anti-corruption speech at Atlanta rally

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%2%

Ossoff's 30-minute campaign speech in Atlanta went viral, boosting his national profile and positioning him as a compelling 2028 Democratic prospect despite his focus on the 2026 Senate race. This increased market interest and polling support for Ossoff.

Jon Ossoff delivers energetic campaign speech in Atlanta emphasizing voting rights and grassroots movement

Ossoff's May 31 speech in Atlanta critiqued current administration policies and called for protecting voting rights and building a broad coalition, energizing his base and contributing to a gradual increase in his market price.

Jon Ossoff Kicks Off Reelection Campaign with Viral Speech in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a powerful 30-minute campaign speech at a rally in Atlanta, which quickly went viral on social media and sparked widespread speculation about his 2028 presidential potential.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral 30-minute campaign speech in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff's May 31 rally speech in Atlanta gained viral attention, boosting his profile and contributing to a significant rise in his market odds despite his denials of a 2028 presidential run.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender amid Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff's rising profile as a young, charismatic leader and his active campaign for Senate reelection in Georgia increased his visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate. Media coverage and political commentary boosted market confidence, raising his price from 5% to 7%.

Jon Ossoff Launches High-Profile Joint Campaign Rally in Atlanta to Boost Reelection Bid

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff held a major joint campaign rally with gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms at The Tabernacle in Atlanta, delivering a powerful speech that energized the Democratic base and highlighted their head start over Republicans.

Jon Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms Hold Joint Campaign Rally in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff and Georgia gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms held a joint campaign rally in Atlanta, demonstrating party unity and boosting Ossoff's visibility as a key leader.

Jon Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms hold joint campaign rally in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff and gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms held a joint rally signaling a united Democratic front in Georgia ahead of the 2026 midterms, boosting Ossoff's visibility and support, which correlated with a rise in his market price.

Sen. Jon Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms Hold Joint Campaign Rally in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%1%

Senator Jon Ossoff and Georgia gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms held their first joint campaign rally in Atlanta, demonstrating party unity and boosting Ossoff's visibility as a key leader.

Pete Buttigieg leads 2028 Democratic primary in Emerson College poll

Pete Buttigieg plunges to 5%45%

A May 2026 Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the 2028 Democratic primary field, reflecting his active campaigning and growing national profile.

Pete Buttigieg leads Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic presidential nomination

Pete Buttigieg plunges to 6%44%

Buttigieg's lead in a major poll boosted his visibility and market odds, reflecting growing support among Democratic voters for his potential candidacy.

Pete Buttigieg leads early 2028 Democratic presidential polls with 18% support

Pete Buttigieg plunges to 5%45%

Buttigieg's active campaigning and national profile have propelled him to the top of early 2028 Democratic primary polls, influencing market prices.

Pete Buttigieg Surges to Lead in New 2028 Democratic Primary Poll

A national survey showed former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg leading the hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary field, edging out Gavin Newsom.

Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer rules out 2028 presidential run

Whitmer publicly announced she will not run for president in 2028, removing a potential contender and maintaining a fragmented Democratic field. This clarified the candidate landscape but had limited direct impact on market prices.

Emerson College Poll Shows Pete Buttigieg Leading Among Potential 2028 Democratic Candidates

A new Emerson College poll released on May 28, 2026, identified Pete Buttigieg as the top potential contender in a hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary, with 18% support among likely Democratic primary voters. This poll influenced market perceptions but did not significantly affect Jon Ossoff's price.

Emerson College Poll Shows Pete Buttigieg and Gavin Newsom Leading Crowded 2028 Field

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%1%

A national survey by Emerson College Polling showed Pete Buttigieg leading with 18% support, closely followed by Gavin Newsom at 16% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 11%, highlighting a highly competitive and fragmented early field.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns in Montana, signaling 2028 ambitions

Ocasio-Cortez held a rally in Missoula, Montana, supporting a congressional candidate, signaling increased political activity and possible presidential ambitions, which supported her steady market price around 9%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rallies support for Democratic candidate Sam Forstag in Montana

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%4%

Ocasio-Cortez's active campaigning for Democratic candidates nationwide, including Montana, reinforced her national profile and potential 2028 ambitions.

Pete Buttigieg leads early 2028 Democratic presidential polls

Polls in mid-2026 showed Pete Buttigieg leading among potential Democratic 2028 presidential candidates, reinforcing his market position as a serious contender despite no formal campaign announcement.

Gretchen Whitmer Walks Back Statement Ruling Out 2028 Presidential Run

Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer initially stated she would not make a bid for the White House in 2028, but quickly walked back the statement, keeping her options open and maintaining the highly fragmented nature of the Democratic field.

Emerson College Poll Shows Pete Buttigieg and Gavin Newsom Leading 2028 Field

A national survey by Emerson College Polling showed Pete Buttigieg leading the hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary field with 18% support, closely followed by Gavin Newsom at 16% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 11%.

Emerson College Poll Places Pete Buttigieg in the Lead for 2028 Democratic Primary

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

A national poll by Emerson College showed Pete Buttigieg leading the prospective 2028 Democratic field with 18% support, followed by Gavin Newsom at 16% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 11%.

Sen. Jon Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms link arms amid crime and law enforcement debates

On May 27, 2026, Jon Ossoff publicly aligned with Keisha Lance Bottoms, a figure criticized for soft-on-crime policies, which drew Republican attacks and highlighted Ossoff's political positioning in Georgia. This association likely contributed to Ossoff's price movements as it affected perceptions of his electability.

Pete Buttigieg tops new 2028 Democratic presidential primary poll

An Emerson College poll placed Buttigieg at 18%, ahead of Newsom and others, boosting his market position.

Gavin Newsom publicly confirms considering 2028 presidential run after midterms

Gavin Newsom jumps to 25%7%

Newsom's public statement about seriously considering a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterms increased his visibility and market confidence, causing his price to rise from 18% to 25%.

Gavin Newsom begins national book tour amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom launched a national book tour to boost his 2028 presidential prospects, initially supporting his market price near 24-25%, despite some early criticism.

Kamala Harris says she is ‘thinking about’ running in 2028 presidential election

Kamala Harris dips to 6%2%

At the National Action Network convention Harris told Rev. Al Sharpton she was “thinking about” a 2028 run. The remark, covered by CNN, increased speculation about her candidacy and corresponded with a gradual slide in her market price from 8 % to 6 % by the end of June.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez takes steps toward 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

AOC increased her national presence by campaigning in multiple states and endorsing progressive candidates, signaling serious positioning for a possible 2028 presidential bid. This activity contributed to a gradual rise in her market odds from 8% to around 9%.

Pete Buttigieg leads 2028 Democratic primary in Emerson College poll

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

An Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the pack of potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates, reflecting his growing national profile and support among Democratic voters.

Axios Reports Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's Escalating Moves Toward 2028 Run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%1%

Axios reported that Ocasio-Cortez has transitioned from a speculative long shot to a formidable polling leader, with other potential contenders actively maneuvering around her rise.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez signals ambition to change the country, fueling 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

In a May 2026 interview, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez expressed her ambition to change the country, which fueled speculation about a potential 2028 presidential run and helped stabilize her market odds after earlier declines.

Pete Buttigieg leads Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic presidential nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg topped a national poll of likely Democratic voters as the preferred 2028 presidential nominee, reflecting his rising national profile and positioning him as a leading contender.

Pete Buttigieg tops New Hampshire poll as leading 2028 Democratic contender

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 12%6%

A New Hampshire poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading potential Democratic presidential candidates, reflecting his strong early-state support and boosting his market position as a frontrunner for 2028.

Pete Buttigieg leads early 2028 Democratic primary polls

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 18%14%

Polls showed Buttigieg as the top choice among Democrats for 2028, reflecting his active campaigning and growing national profile, which influenced market optimism about his chances.

Jon Ossoff's Scathing Anti-Trump Speech at Atlanta Church Goes Viral, Sparking 2028 Speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a fiery speech at Big Bethel A.M.E. Church in Atlanta criticizing Donald Trump. The speech went viral on social media, prompting prominent progressive commentators to predict he would become a frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

AOC takes more steps toward 2028 run for president

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%1%

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez signaled her national ambitions by traveling to Montana to campaign for a congressional candidate and refusing to rule out a 2028 White House bid.

Pollster highlights Jon Ossoff's strong messaging to GOP voters ahead of 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

On May 22, 2026, a Republican pollster praised Jon Ossoff's messaging effectiveness, which contributed to increased market confidence in his viability as a 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, reflected in a price rise from 6% to 7%.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run at National Action Network event

Kamala Harris rises to 10%2%

Kamala Harris publicly stated she is "thinking about" running for president again in 2028 during a speech at the National Action Network convention, sparking speculation and debate about her political future. This announcement initially supported her market price but also led to mixed reactions about her viability.

DNC postelection autopsy criticizes Kamala Harris’s 2024 campaign

The Democratic National Committee released a detailed postelection autopsy faulting Kamala Harris for writing off rural America and lacking sufficient negative attacks on Donald Trump, which raised doubts about her 2028 presidential prospects and contributed to a decline in her market price.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run at National Action Network event

Harris publicly indicated she is considering a 2028 presidential run during a high-profile event, energizing supporters but facing internal party resistance, which contributed to mixed market and polling signals.

DNC releases 2024 election autopsy report amid pressure including from Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

The Democratic National Committee released a detailed autopsy report on the 2024 election loss after pressure from party members and Kamala Harris, highlighting challenges that may influence the party's future strategies and Harris's political positioning.

Republican Pollster Praises Jon Ossoff's Messaging Effectiveness

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Republican pollster Rich Baris praised Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff's populist messaging on Tucker Carlson's podcast, boosting Ossoff's national profile and market confidence in his 2028 viability.

Poll shows Kamala Harris narrowly leads Gavin Newsom in ranked-choice simulation

A Lake Research Partners poll showed Harris leading Newsom 52-48% in a ranked-choice voting simulation, reinforcing her status as a frontrunner and supporting her market position around 9%.

Josh Shapiro wins Pennsylvania primary, boosting 2028 speculation

Josh Shapiro rises to 5%1%

Shapiro's primary victory and strong fundraising positioned him as a viable 2028 contender, reflected in a modest increase in his market probability.

Georgia Republican Senate primary heads to runoff to challenge Jon Ossoff

No Republican candidate secured a majority in the May 19 primary, leading to a runoff that delayed the selection of Ossoff's opponent and maintained his strong position, supported by record fundraising, which helped stabilize his market price.

Gavin Newsom speaks at Center for American Progress Ideas Conference, reinforcing national profile

Newsom's appearance at a major policy conference in Washington, D.C., bolstered his national visibility and reinforced his frontrunner status for the 2028 Democratic nomination, supporting his market position around 24-25%.

Josh Shapiro-backed Democrats win Pennsylvania House primaries

Josh Shapiro rises to 5%1%

Democrats endorsed by Governor Josh Shapiro won key Pennsylvania House primaries, showcasing Shapiro's political strength in a battleground state and bolstering his prospects for a 2028 presidential bid.

Newsom unveils $349 billion 2026‑27 California budget and says he’ll weigh a 2028 presidential run

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

Governor Newsom released the 2026‑27 state budget revision, a $349.4 billion plan that highlighted his progressive agenda and reiterated his intent to consider a 2028 presidential bid after the midterms. The high‑visibility budget drew national media coverage and lifted his market price from 24 % to 25 % on May 19, then kept it near that level through early June.

Rasmussen poll shows Kamala Harris leading 2028 Democratic nomination

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted May 18-20, 2026, showed former Vice President Kamala Harris as the favorite for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, supporting her market position around 10%.

Kamala Harris leads most recent national Democratic primary polls

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

Polling conducted May 18-20, 2026, showed former Vice President Kamala Harris as the front-runner for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reinforcing her status as the early favorite and supporting her stable market position.

Josh Shapiro focuses on Pennsylvania reelection, downplays 2028 presidential campaign

Josh Shapiro dips to 5%1%

Shapiro concentrated on his 2026 gubernatorial race in Pennsylvania, avoiding early presidential primary states and limiting national campaign activity, contributing to his low market price.

Kamala Harris leads Democratic primary polls in May 2026

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

Polling by Rasmussen Reports in mid-May showed Kamala Harris as the favorite for the 2028 Democratic nomination, supporting her market price around 8-9%. This reinforced her status as the early frontrunner.

Kamala Harris leads most national 2028 Democratic primary polls

A Rasmussen Reports survey conducted May 18-20, 2026, showed Kamala Harris as the favorite for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reinforcing her status as a top contender and supporting her steady market price.

Kamala Harris leads new national Democratic primary poll for 2028 nomination

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

A May 2026 poll showed Kamala Harris leading the Democratic primary field, boosting her visibility and solidifying her status as a front-runner in national polls, though her market odds remained modest.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leading 2028 Democratic primary field

A Rasmussen Reports poll found Harris leading likely Democratic primary voters with 34% support, reinforcing her status as a front-runner and stabilizing her market odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez takes steps toward 2028 presidential run

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez made moves consistent with preparing for a possible 2028 presidential campaign, including campaigning outside her district and expanding fundraising, though she has not formally declared.

Democratic candidates Josh Shapiro and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintain low market prices amid ongoing controversies

Both Shapiro and Ocasio-Cortez's market prices remained low due to lingering controversies and challenges within the Democratic Party, reflecting skepticism about their 2028 nomination chances.

Gavin Newsom’s poll surge after high‑profile endorsement by Hollywood star

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%2%

A late‑May endorsement from a major Hollywood figure boosted Newsom’s visibility and poll numbers, nudging his market price slightly higher despite overall market volatility.

Josh Shapiro faces scrutiny over handling of harassment claims and security upgrades

Josh Shapiro plunges to 5%45%

Governor Josh Shapiro's handling of sexual harassment claims and use of taxpayer funds for security upgrades drew criticism, potentially weakening his political standing and contributing to a decline in his market price.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential bid in BBC interview

Kamala Harris dips to 9%1%

Kamala Harris expressed openness to running again in 2028 during a BBC interview, fueling speculation and maintaining her profile as a leading contender despite mixed party support and polling. This contributed to modest price fluctuations in her market position.

Poll shows Pete Buttigieg leading potential 2028 Democratic field

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

An Emerson College poll found Buttigieg leading among Democratic primary voters, signaling rising support and influencing market prices upward for his nomination chances.

Pete Buttigieg campaigns for Democrats ahead of midterms, signaling 2028 ambitions

Buttigieg's active campaigning for Democrats in key races ahead of the 2026 midterms increased his visibility and speculation about a 2028 presidential run, stabilizing his market price around 4%.

Pete Buttigieg holds event in Cedar Rapids fueling 2028 speculation

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Buttigieg's public appearances and endorsements in key states increased his visibility and market odds as a potential 2028 candidate.

AtlasIntel Poll Shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Leading Potential 2028 Democratic Field

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

An AtlasIntel poll conducted in early May showed progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading potential 2028 Democratic candidates with 26% support, boosting her market odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads Democrats’ 2028 pack in new poll, topping Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

A new poll showed AOC leading the 2028 Democratic primary field with 26%, doubling Kamala Harris's support. This poll temporarily boosted her market price despite earlier declines.