Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật690b+ 56%
680-690b 19%
670-680b 16%
<610b 8.7%
$20,973 KL.
$20,973 KL.
May 31, 2026
<610b
12%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
8%
630-640b
8%
640-650b
3%
650-660b
8%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
16%
680-690b
19%
690b+
48%
690b+ 56%
680-690b 19%
670-680b 16%
<610b 8.7%
$20,973 KL.
$20,973 KL.
May 31, 2026
<610b
$2,591 KL.
12%
610-620b
$1,465 KL.
3%
620-630b
$1,596 KL.
8%
630-640b
$1,905 KL.
8%
640-650b
$2,188 KL.
3%
650-660b
$1,999 KL.
8%
660-670b
$1,979 KL.
8%
670-680b
$1,680 KL.
16%
680-690b
$1,803 KL.
19%
690b+
$3,768 KL.
48%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,973Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Khối lượng
$20,973Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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