**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet count from August 11–18, 2026, centers on his established weekly cadence of roughly 140–200 posts, with the 160–179 bin leading at 57.5% implied probability and 180–199 close behind at 29.5%.** This positioning reflects Musk’s typical output of 25–40 posts per day across X, driven by ongoing commentary on Tesla, SpaceX launches, xAI/Grok developments, and real-time platform engagement. Recent activity through August 17 aligns with that baseline—multiple daily replies, quotes, and original posts on topics like rocket records, AI efficiency, and domestic manufacturing—without major spikes from breaking news or controversies that would push totals higher. Markets for similar weekly windows show the same clustering, as traders weigh historical patterns against the remaining time in the period and the absence of catalysts likely to accelerate posting. The lower-probability bins below 160 or above 200 account for potential slowdowns or viral surges, but current momentum keeps the mid-range outcomes as the clearest consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật160-179 57%
180-199 30%
140-159 10.3%
200-219 3.5%
$1,792,203 KL.
$1,792,203 KL.
140-159
10%
160-179
57%
180-199
30%
200-219
4%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 57%
180-199 30%
140-159 10.3%
200-219 3.5%
$1,792,203 KL.
$1,792,203 KL.
140-159
10%
160-179
57%
180-199
30%
200-219
4%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet count from August 11–18, 2026, centers on his established weekly cadence of roughly 140–200 posts, with the 160–179 bin leading at 57.5% implied probability and 180–199 close behind at 29.5%.** This positioning reflects Musk’s typical output of 25–40 posts per day across X, driven by ongoing commentary on Tesla, SpaceX launches, xAI/Grok developments, and real-time platform engagement. Recent activity through August 17 aligns with that baseline—multiple daily replies, quotes, and original posts on topics like rocket records, AI efficiency, and domestic manufacturing—without major spikes from breaking news or controversies that would push totals higher. Markets for similar weekly windows show the same clustering, as traders weigh historical patterns against the remaining time in the period and the absence of catalysts likely to accelerate posting. The lower-probability bins below 160 or above 200 account for potential slowdowns or viral surges, but current momentum keeps the mid-range outcomes as the clearest consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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