Recent SpaceX launch records and internal AI revenue projections have fueled Elon Musk’s X engagement, prompting replies, quotes, and promotional posts that anchor trader expectations for the Aug. 14–21 window. With leading bins at 140-159 (25.5%) and 160-179 (22.5%) nearly tied, markets reflect his historically variable cadence—typically 15–25 daily posts—swinging on real-time business developments, Grok updates, and Tesla commentary rather than steady output. Precursor data from mid-August shows consistent but not explosive volume, while upcoming chart locks and any fresh Starship or xAI news could shift probabilities. Traders weigh these catalysts against the inherent unpredictability of high-profile executive posting habits.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật140-159 26%
160-179 23%
120-139 19.4%
180-199 18%
$802,627 KL.
$802,627 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
8%
120-139
19%
140-159
26%
160-179
23%
180-199
18%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 26%
160-179 23%
120-139 19.4%
180-199 18%
$802,627 KL.
$802,627 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
$1,883 KL.
<1%
60-79
$44,045 KL.
<1%
80-99
$83,848 KL.
<1%
100-119
$89,227 KL.
8%
120-139
$54,327 KL.
19%
140-159
$16,139 KL.
26%
160-179
$21,790 KL.
23%
180-199
$30,727 KL.
18%
200-219
$17,700 KL.
7%
220-239
$13,800 KL.
2%
240-259
$17,620 KL.
1%
260-279
$24,591 KL.
<1%
280-299
$48,920 KL.
<1%
300-319
$51,905 KL.
<1%
320-339
$56,042 KL.
<1%
340-359
$38,794 KL.
<1%
360-379
$35,717 KL.
<1%
380-399
$43,006 KL.
<1%
400-419
$28,243 KL.
<1%
420-439
$10,328 KL.
<1%
440-459
$7,201 KL.
<1%
460-479
$6,646 KL.
<1%
480-499
$6,646 KL.
<1%
500+
$48,717 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent SpaceX launch records and internal AI revenue projections have fueled Elon Musk’s X engagement, prompting replies, quotes, and promotional posts that anchor trader expectations for the Aug. 14–21 window. With leading bins at 140-159 (25.5%) and 160-179 (22.5%) nearly tied, markets reflect his historically variable cadence—typically 15–25 daily posts—swinging on real-time business developments, Grok updates, and Tesla commentary rather than steady output. Precursor data from mid-August shows consistent but not explosive volume, while upcoming chart locks and any fresh Starship or xAI news could shift probabilities. Traders weigh these catalysts against the inherent unpredictability of high-profile executive posting habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$802,627Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent SpaceX launch records and internal AI revenue projections have fueled Elon Musk’s X engagement, prompting replies, quotes, and promotional posts that anchor trader expectations for the Aug. 14–21 window. With leading bins at 140-159 (25.5%) and 160-179 (22.5%) nearly tied, markets reflect his historically variable cadence—typically 15–25 daily posts—swinging on real-time business developments, Grok updates, and Tesla commentary rather than steady output. Precursor data from mid-August shows consistent but not explosive volume, while upcoming chart locks and any fresh Starship or xAI news could shift probabilities. Traders weigh these catalysts against the inherent unpredictability of high-profile executive posting habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$802,627Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SpaceX launch records and internal AI revenue projections have fueled Elon Musk’s X engagement, prompting replies, quotes, and promotional posts that anchor trader expectations for the Aug. 14–21 window. With leading bins at 140-159 (25.5%) and 160-179 (22.5%) nearly tied, markets reflect his historically variable cadence—typically 15–25 daily posts—swinging on real-time business developments, Grok updates, and Tesla commentary rather than steady output. Precursor data from mid-August shows consistent but not explosive volume, while upcoming chart locks and any fresh Starship or xAI news could shift probabilities. Traders weigh these catalysts against the inherent unpredictability of high-profile executive posting habits.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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