**Recent FBI search warrants executed in mid-August 2026, including device seizures at San Francisco airport and a search of Swalwell’s Washington home, mark an escalation in the federal probe into sexual misconduct allegations that surfaced in April.** Those claims prompted his congressional resignation and exit from the California gubernatorial race, with parallel inquiries opened by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department. No charges have been filed in any jurisdiction despite months of investigation, and the latest actions focus on evidence collection under statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242. Federal and state charging decisions in complex sexual assault or civil-rights cases routinely require extended review of electronic evidence, witness interviews, and legal analysis. This timeline aligns with trader consensus assigning an 81.5% probability to no charges by September 30, reflecting the typical pace of such proceedings rather than any indication of imminent resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật27% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
27% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent FBI search warrants executed in mid-August 2026, including device seizures at San Francisco airport and a search of Swalwell’s Washington home, mark an escalation in the federal probe into sexual misconduct allegations that surfaced in April.** Those claims prompted his congressional resignation and exit from the California gubernatorial race, with parallel inquiries opened by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department. No charges have been filed in any jurisdiction despite months of investigation, and the latest actions focus on evidence collection under statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242. Federal and state charging decisions in complex sexual assault or civil-rights cases routinely require extended review of electronic evidence, witness interviews, and legal analysis. This timeline aligns with trader consensus assigning an 81.5% probability to no charges by September 30, reflecting the typical pace of such proceedings rather than any indication of imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent FBI search warrants executed in mid-August 2026, including device seizures at San Francisco airport and a search of Swalwell’s Washington home, mark an escalation in the federal probe into sexual misconduct allegations that surfaced in April.** Those claims prompted his congressional resignation and exit from the California gubernatorial race, with parallel inquiries opened by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department. No charges have been filed in any jurisdiction despite months of investigation, and the latest actions focus on evidence collection under statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242. Federal and state charging decisions in complex sexual assault or civil-rights cases routinely require extended review of electronic evidence, witness interviews, and legal analysis. This timeline aligns with trader consensus assigning an 81.5% probability to no charges by September 30, reflecting the typical pace of such proceedings rather than any indication of imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent FBI search warrants executed in mid-August 2026, including device seizures at San Francisco airport and a search of Swalwell’s Washington home, mark an escalation in the federal probe into sexual misconduct allegations that surfaced in April.** Those claims prompted his congressional resignation and exit from the California gubernatorial race, with parallel inquiries opened by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department. No charges have been filed in any jurisdiction despite months of investigation, and the latest actions focus on evidence collection under statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242. Federal and state charging decisions in complex sexual assault or civil-rights cases routinely require extended review of electronic evidence, witness interviews, and legal analysis. This timeline aligns with trader consensus assigning an 81.5% probability to no charges by September 30, reflecting the typical pace of such proceedings rather than any indication of imminent resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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