Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in 2026 center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, with American strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and naval infrastructure along the Persian Gulf to degrade Tehran’s ability to threaten shipping. Farsi Island serves as a key IRGC naval outpost near the strait, historically used for patrols and interdictions. No verified shift in sovereignty has occurred as of mid-August 2026, though related islands such as Kharg have faced strikes on military assets. Trader assessments reflect the pace of US operations, Iranian countermeasures, and any diplomatic openings that could produce a seizure, negotiated handover, or sustained status quo by the market’s resolution date. Escalation risks or de-escalation talks in coming weeks remain the primary variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$170,157 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$170,157 KL.
August 31
$161,265 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in 2026 center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, with American strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and naval infrastructure along the Persian Gulf to degrade Tehran’s ability to threaten shipping. Farsi Island serves as a key IRGC naval outpost near the strait, historically used for patrols and interdictions. No verified shift in sovereignty has occurred as of mid-August 2026, though related islands such as Kharg have faced strikes on military assets. Trader assessments reflect the pace of US operations, Iranian countermeasures, and any diplomatic openings that could produce a seizure, negotiated handover, or sustained status quo by the market’s resolution date. Escalation risks or de-escalation talks in coming weeks remain the primary variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$170,157Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in 2026 center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, with American strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and naval infrastructure along the Persian Gulf to degrade Tehran’s ability to threaten shipping. Farsi Island serves as a key IRGC naval outpost near the strait, historically used for patrols and interdictions. No verified shift in sovereignty has occurred as of mid-August 2026, though related islands such as Kharg have faced strikes on military assets. Trader assessments reflect the pace of US operations, Iranian countermeasures, and any diplomatic openings that could produce a seizure, negotiated handover, or sustained status quo by the market’s resolution date. Escalation risks or de-escalation talks in coming weeks remain the primary variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$170,157Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in 2026 center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, with American strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and naval infrastructure along the Persian Gulf to degrade Tehran’s ability to threaten shipping. Farsi Island serves as a key IRGC naval outpost near the strait, historically used for patrols and interdictions. No verified shift in sovereignty has occurred as of mid-August 2026, though related islands such as Kharg have faced strikes on military assets. Trader assessments reflect the pace of US operations, Iranian countermeasures, and any diplomatic openings that could produce a seizure, negotiated handover, or sustained status quo by the market’s resolution date. Escalation risks or de-escalation talks in coming weeks remain the primary variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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