Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$15,242 KL.
$15,242 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
24%
$15,242 KL.
$15,242 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,726 KL.
70%
Democratic Party
$9,516 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,242Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,242Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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