Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$99,276 KL.
$99,276 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$99,276 KL.
$99,276 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$2,061 KL.
No
23°C
$880 KL.
No
24°C
$3,388 KL.
No
25°C
$3,638 KL.
No
26°C
$4,903 KL.
No
27°C
$5,796 KL.
No
28°C
$8,228 KL.
No
29°C
$19,676 KL.
No
30°C
$13,755 KL.
Yes
31°C
$11,587 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$25,363 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$99,276Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$99,276Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre project a Beijing maximum near 30°C on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and promote cooling through evaporation and cloud cover. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, consistent with late-summer climatology when monsoon influences and convective activity typically cap highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. The near-certain market pricing on 30°C reflects this strong observational and model consensus backed by real capital. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly suppressed convection allowing clearer skies and stronger insolation, or a rapid shift in steering patterns that reduces moisture and rainfall, both of which remain low-probability based on current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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