Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models, incorporating a weak cold front sliding south of the region, have driven the market's 100% consensus on a 17°C high for Cape Town on August 14. Increased cloud cover and moderated northerly winds suppressed daytime warming following the 23°C peak observed the prior day, aligning with typical August climatology of 16–18°C maxima under similar synoptic patterns. Official monitoring confirms the outcome through standardized measurements at primary stations. Only an unanticipated model error in boundary-layer mixing or an unforecasted berg wind surge could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow range before final data validation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 14?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$46,069 KL.
$46,069 KL.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$46,069 KL.
$46,069 KL.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models, incorporating a weak cold front sliding south of the region, have driven the market's 100% consensus on a 17°C high for Cape Town on August 14. Increased cloud cover and moderated northerly winds suppressed daytime warming following the 23°C peak observed the prior day, aligning with typical August climatology of 16–18°C maxima under similar synoptic patterns. Official monitoring confirms the outcome through standardized measurements at primary stations. Only an unanticipated model error in boundary-layer mixing or an unforecasted berg wind surge could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow range before final data validation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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