National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models currently project a daytime high for Denver on May 22 well into the mid-60s°F, placing the outcome comfortably above the 54°F threshold and aligning with the market’s 96% implied probability for that range. This positioning reflects the ongoing seasonal climb toward the month’s climatological average of 70–77°F, supported by recent upper-air observations and ensemble guidance showing stable southerly flow without significant cold-air advection. While model consensus remains strong, traders note that an unexpected late-day frontal passage or revised initialization data could still trim the peak by several degrees, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup and proximity to resolution.