Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
MỚI
$46,056 KL.
MỚI
$46,056 KL.
May 21, 2026
16°C
42%
17°C
47%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
MỚI
$46,056 KL.
MỚI
$46,056 KL.
May 21, 2026
16°C
$2,227 KL.
42%
17°C
$2,103 KL.
47%
18°C
$1,939 KL.
1%
19°C
$1,828 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$934 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,056Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$46,056Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp