Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 21?
Highest temperature in London on May 21?
23°C 46%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
MỚI
$31,779 KL.
MỚI
$31,779 KL.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
24%
23°C
46%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
MỚI
$31,779 KL.
MỚI
$31,779 KL.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
$2,102 KL.
<1%
19°C
$2,352 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,646 KL.
<1%
21°C
$3,433 KL.
3%
22°C
$4,247 KL.
24%
23°C
$4,871 KL.
46%
24°C
$4,439 KL.
25%
25°C
$2,548 KL.
7%
26°C
$2,703 KL.
1%
27°C
$1,724 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$913 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,779Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$31,779Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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