Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
33°C 43%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
May 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
29%
33°C
43%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
May 22, 2026
27°C or below
$169 KL.
<1%
28°C
$433 KL.
<1%
29°C
$301 KL.
<1%
30°C
$215 KL.
1%
31°C
$690 KL.
11%
32°C
$636 KL.
29%
33°C
$876 KL.
43%
34°C
$381 KL.
14%
35°C
$222 KL.
3%
36°C
$157 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$144 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,214Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$4,214Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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