Latest global forecast models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, project Shanghai overnight lows near 19–21 °C on May 24, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. This aligns with mid-to-late May climatology, where historical minima average 17–20 °C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high that limits cold-air advection and allows moderating sea breezes. No significant frontal passages or northerly surges appear in current synoptic analyses, keeping probabilities for sub-18 °C readings low. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 21%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
19%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 21%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
19%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global forecast models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, project Shanghai overnight lows near 19–21 °C on May 24, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. This aligns with mid-to-late May climatology, where historical minima average 17–20 °C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high that limits cold-air advection and allows moderating sea breezes. No significant frontal passages or northerly surges appear in current synoptic analyses, keeping probabilities for sub-18 °C readings low. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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