Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 22?
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 7.4%
$15,110 KL.
$15,110 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 7.4%
$15,110 KL.
$15,110 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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