Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multi-model consensus for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of South China Sea summer patterns. This positioning reflects verified observational baselines, historical August climatology around 29–31°C, and stable steering patterns with limited insolation from cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 30°C stems from these consistent inputs and low likelihood of rapid shifts in wind or clear-sky advection that could push readings outside the narrow band. Resolution hinges on official Hong Kong Observatory headquarters verification, with only outlier developments like unexpected subsidence or advection altering the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,240 KL.
$237,240 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,240 KL.
$237,240 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$4,300 KL.
<1%
27°C
$10,516 KL.
<1%
28°C
$47,640 KL.
<1%
29°C
$52,808 KL.
<1%
30°C
$48,586 KL.
100%
31°C
$32,501 KL.
<1%
32°C
$19,039 KL.
<1%
33°C
$9,126 KL.
<1%
34°C
$7,686 KL.
<1%
35°C
$3,460 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,578 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multi-model consensus for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of South China Sea summer patterns. This positioning reflects verified observational baselines, historical August climatology around 29–31°C, and stable steering patterns with limited insolation from cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 30°C stems from these consistent inputs and low likelihood of rapid shifts in wind or clear-sky advection that could push readings outside the narrow band. Resolution hinges on official Hong Kong Observatory headquarters verification, with only outlier developments like unexpected subsidence or advection altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$237,240Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multi-model consensus for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of South China Sea summer patterns. This positioning reflects verified observational baselines, historical August climatology around 29–31°C, and stable steering patterns with limited insolation from cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 30°C stems from these consistent inputs and low likelihood of rapid shifts in wind or clear-sky advection that could push readings outside the narrow band. Resolution hinges on official Hong Kong Observatory headquarters verification, with only outlier developments like unexpected subsidence or advection altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$237,240Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multi-model consensus for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of South China Sea summer patterns. This positioning reflects verified observational baselines, historical August climatology around 29–31°C, and stable steering patterns with limited insolation from cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 30°C stems from these consistent inputs and low likelihood of rapid shifts in wind or clear-sky advection that could push readings outside the narrow band. Resolution hinges on official Hong Kong Observatory headquarters verification, with only outlier developments like unexpected subsidence or advection altering the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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