Recent official forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF ensembles, and agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Madrid’s maximum temperature for August 6 near 36–37 °C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and persistent high pressure over the central Iberian Meseta. This radiative heating setup, typical for midsummer without Saharan air intrusion, supports the market’s near-even split between 37 °C (50.5 %) and 38 °C (47.5 %), reflecting model spread and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud development. Climatological averages for early August hover around 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies. Traders are closely monitoring the next AEMET update and real-time observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
37°C 51%
38°C 50%
36°C 2%
39°C 2%
$23,757 KL.
$23,757 KL.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
51%
38°C
50%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 51%
38°C 50%
36°C 2%
39°C 2%
$23,757 KL.
$23,757 KL.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
51%
38°C
50%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF ensembles, and agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Madrid’s maximum temperature for August 6 near 36–37 °C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and persistent high pressure over the central Iberian Meseta. This radiative heating setup, typical for midsummer without Saharan air intrusion, supports the market’s near-even split between 37 °C (50.5 %) and 38 °C (47.5 %), reflecting model spread and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud development. Climatological averages for early August hover around 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies. Traders are closely monitoring the next AEMET update and real-time observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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