Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions for Taipei on September 23, driven by easterly winds and limited moisture, supporting daytime highs near 30–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 32 °C, as ensemble guidance shows minimal day-to-day variability and no imminent tropical systems to alter steering patterns or cloud cover. Historical September climatology for northern Taiwan reinforces typical maxima in this range absent major disturbances. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or humidity ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on September 23?
32°C 67%
33°C 21%
31°C 10%
34°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
67%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 67%
33°C 21%
31°C 10%
34°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
67%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions for Taipei on September 23, driven by easterly winds and limited moisture, supporting daytime highs near 30–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 32 °C, as ensemble guidance shows minimal day-to-day variability and no imminent tropical systems to alter steering patterns or cloud cover. Historical September climatology for northern Taiwan reinforces typical maxima in this range absent major disturbances. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or humidity ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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