Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as ECMWF indicate stable late-summer conditions for coastal Tel Aviv on August 21, with a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Typical Mediterranean summer patterns, including moderating sea breezes and high-pressure dominance, support this range, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach about 31–32°C. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 67.5% implied probability reflects the latest model consensus and absence of heatwave signals or significant model disagreement, though minor shifts in timing or local observations could still adjust the final recorded peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
33°C 68%
34°C 25%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
68%
34°C
25%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 68%
34°C 25%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
68%
34°C
25%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as ECMWF indicate stable late-summer conditions for coastal Tel Aviv on August 21, with a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Typical Mediterranean summer patterns, including moderating sea breezes and high-pressure dominance, support this range, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach about 31–32°C. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 67.5% implied probability reflects the latest model consensus and absence of heatwave signals or significant model disagreement, though minor shifts in timing or local observations could still adjust the final recorded peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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