Recent model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to stable subtropical high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, sustaining typical August warmth without significant heat advection or cloud cover. Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal influences, supporting daytime highs clustering around 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, consistent with climatological averages of 86–90°F (30–32°C) and low precipitation risk. With the event only two days out, short-range guidance shows minimal spread, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 64% implied probability while limiting upside to 34°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against potential minor forecast revisions in the final model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
33°C 64%
32°C 31%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
31%
33°C
64%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
32°C 31%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$25 KL.
<1%
30°C
$15 KL.
2%
31°C
$105 KL.
3%
32°C
$227 KL.
31%
33°C
$262 KL.
64%
34°C
$81 KL.
7%
35°C
$117 KL.
2%
36°C
$85 KL.
1%
37°C
$175 KL.
1%
38°C
$485 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$378 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to stable subtropical high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, sustaining typical August warmth without significant heat advection or cloud cover. Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal influences, supporting daytime highs clustering around 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, consistent with climatological averages of 86–90°F (30–32°C) and low precipitation risk. With the event only two days out, short-range guidance shows minimal spread, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 64% implied probability while limiting upside to 34°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against potential minor forecast revisions in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,954Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to stable subtropical high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, sustaining typical August warmth without significant heat advection or cloud cover. Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal influences, supporting daytime highs clustering around 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, consistent with climatological averages of 86–90°F (30–32°C) and low precipitation risk. With the event only two days out, short-range guidance shows minimal spread, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 64% implied probability while limiting upside to 34°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against potential minor forecast revisions in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,954Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to stable subtropical high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, sustaining typical August warmth without significant heat advection or cloud cover. Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal influences, supporting daytime highs clustering around 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, consistent with climatological averages of 86–90°F (30–32°C) and low precipitation risk. With the event only two days out, short-range guidance shows minimal spread, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 64% implied probability while limiting upside to 34°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against potential minor forecast revisions in the final model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp