Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Tel Aviv’s September 17 maximum, with peak heating expected under clear skies and light northwesterly flow that limits marine moderation along the coast. Subtle differences between 34°C and 35°C hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact sea-breeze onset timing, and minor variations in model-resolved dew-point depression and wind gusts. Historical September maxima near 29–30°C provide context, yet current stable high pressure and low cloud cover support the elevated trader-implied odds. Final Israel Meteorological Service guidance and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
34°C 47%
35°C 44%
33°C 11%
36°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
47%
35°C
44%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 47%
35°C 44%
33°C 11%
36°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
30°C or below
$71 KL.
1%
31°C
$310 KL.
1%
32°C
$0 KL.
3%
33°C
$130 KL.
11%
34°C
$501 KL.
47%
35°C
$219 KL.
44%
36°C
$0 KL.
7%
37°C
$0 KL.
2%
38°C
$152 KL.
2%
39°C
$91 KL.
1%
40°C or higher
$291 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Tel Aviv’s September 17 maximum, with peak heating expected under clear skies and light northwesterly flow that limits marine moderation along the coast. Subtle differences between 34°C and 35°C hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact sea-breeze onset timing, and minor variations in model-resolved dew-point depression and wind gusts. Historical September maxima near 29–30°C provide context, yet current stable high pressure and low cloud cover support the elevated trader-implied odds. Final Israel Meteorological Service guidance and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,766Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Tel Aviv’s September 17 maximum, with peak heating expected under clear skies and light northwesterly flow that limits marine moderation along the coast. Subtle differences between 34°C and 35°C hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact sea-breeze onset timing, and minor variations in model-resolved dew-point depression and wind gusts. Historical September maxima near 29–30°C provide context, yet current stable high pressure and low cloud cover support the elevated trader-implied odds. Final Israel Meteorological Service guidance and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,766Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Tel Aviv’s September 17 maximum, with peak heating expected under clear skies and light northwesterly flow that limits marine moderation along the coast. Subtle differences between 34°C and 35°C hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact sea-breeze onset timing, and minor variations in model-resolved dew-point depression and wind gusts. Historical September maxima near 29–30°C provide context, yet current stable high pressure and low cloud cover support the elevated trader-implied odds. Final Israel Meteorological Service guidance and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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