Latest official guidance from Environment Canada projects a high of 29°C for Toronto on June 12 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 60 percent chance of showers, which would limit daytime heating. Numerical weather prediction models show a tight cluster of solutions between 26°C and 29°C, with differences driven by the timing and coverage of cloud and precipitation that reduce solar insolation and surface warming. Historical climatology for mid-June places average highs near 24°C, so current guidance represents above-normal warmth, yet lingering model disagreement on convective activity keeps the market-implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C highest at 36.5 percent and 27 percent. Updated model runs and Environment Canada forecast revisions expected overnight will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on June 12?
27°C 36%
28°C 28%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
28%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
9%
27°C 36%
28°C 28%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
28%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official guidance from Environment Canada projects a high of 29°C for Toronto on June 12 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 60 percent chance of showers, which would limit daytime heating. Numerical weather prediction models show a tight cluster of solutions between 26°C and 29°C, with differences driven by the timing and coverage of cloud and precipitation that reduce solar insolation and surface warming. Historical climatology for mid-June places average highs near 24°C, so current guidance represents above-normal warmth, yet lingering model disagreement on convective activity keeps the market-implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C highest at 36.5 percent and 27 percent. Updated model runs and Environment Canada forecast revisions expected overnight will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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