Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 78°F on June 12 under the prevailing subtropical summer regime of easterly flow and high moisture, keeping radiative cooling modest and supporting the market’s leading 78-79°F bin. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may increase cloud cover and slightly elevate minimum temperatures, while model consensus shows little deviation from the June climatological average low of 76–77°F. The broad probability distribution reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, with lower bins requiring an atypical cool surge that current steering patterns do not favor. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points ahead of the 24-hour minimum observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on June 12?
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 16%
80-81°F 16%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 16%
80-81°F 16%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 78°F on June 12 under the prevailing subtropical summer regime of easterly flow and high moisture, keeping radiative cooling modest and supporting the market’s leading 78-79°F bin. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may increase cloud cover and slightly elevate minimum temperatures, while model consensus shows little deviation from the June climatological average low of 76–77°F. The broad probability distribution reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, with lower bins requiring an atypical cool surge that current steering patterns do not favor. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points ahead of the 24-hour minimum observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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