The Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm a maximum temperature of 29°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with model consensus under prevailing subtropical ridge conditions that limited daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and ENSO influences. Surface observations, including 2 p.m. readings near 25–28°C at key stations and soil temperatures around 28.5°C, reflect typical June humidity and light winds that moderated peaks below the 30–32°C range seen earlier in the month. With resolution now complete, the 100% market-implied odds reflect verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unlikely post-publication revision to the official record or a change in measurement protocols could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$285,499 KL.
$285,499 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$285,499 KL.
$285,499 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm a maximum temperature of 29°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with model consensus under prevailing subtropical ridge conditions that limited daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and ENSO influences. Surface observations, including 2 p.m. readings near 25–28°C at key stations and soil temperatures around 28.5°C, reflect typical June humidity and light winds that moderated peaks below the 30–32°C range seen earlier in the month. With resolution now complete, the 100% market-implied odds reflect verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unlikely post-publication revision to the official record or a change in measurement protocols could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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