The market-implied odds heavily favoring a 24°C high in Taipei on June 11 reflect current meteorological forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and light rain from the Meiyu frontal system, which typically suppresses daytime warming across northern Taiwan in early June. Ensemble models from agencies like the Central Weather Administration point to limited solar heating and steady northeasterly flow keeping peaks near or below seasonal norms of 28–30°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance confirm this pattern, with only modest upside risk to 25°C if breaks in the overcast occur. Traders are monitoring hourly updates for any late-day clearing that could shift resolution criteria around official station maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on June 11?
24°C 65.3%
25°C 21%
26°C 10%
27°C 1.1%
$42,162 KL.
$42,162 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
65%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 65.3%
25°C 21%
26°C 10%
27°C 1.1%
$42,162 KL.
$42,162 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
65%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds heavily favoring a 24°C high in Taipei on June 11 reflect current meteorological forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and light rain from the Meiyu frontal system, which typically suppresses daytime warming across northern Taiwan in early June. Ensemble models from agencies like the Central Weather Administration point to limited solar heating and steady northeasterly flow keeping peaks near or below seasonal norms of 28–30°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance confirm this pattern, with only modest upside risk to 25°C if breaks in the overcast occur. Traders are monitoring hourly updates for any late-day clearing that could shift resolution criteria around official station maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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