**Strong consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models underpin the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11.** Multiple sources, including numerical weather prediction outputs and observational guidance, project sunny conditions with maximum temperatures reaching or holding near 32°C (approximately 90°F), consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region and current atmospheric patterns favoring clear skies and moderate southerly flow. Low probabilities for adjacent outcomes reflect minimal expected variance in this stable setup. Realistically, only a significant short-term shift—such as rapid development of convective clouds or an unforecast frontal passage—could alter the daily maximum enough to challenge the leading resolution, though ensemble guidance shows little support for such changes before peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
32°C 99.7%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$114,719 KL.
$114,719 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.7%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$114,719 KL.
$114,719 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models underpin the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11.** Multiple sources, including numerical weather prediction outputs and observational guidance, project sunny conditions with maximum temperatures reaching or holding near 32°C (approximately 90°F), consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region and current atmospheric patterns favoring clear skies and moderate southerly flow. Low probabilities for adjacent outcomes reflect minimal expected variance in this stable setup. Realistically, only a significant short-term shift—such as rapid development of convective clouds or an unforecast frontal passage—could alter the daily maximum enough to challenge the leading resolution, though ensemble guidance shows little support for such changes before peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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