Market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s daily high on June 11, reflecting current forecasts from regional meteorological models projecting a peak near that level under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Moderate humidity, possible afternoon cloud cover, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme surface heating, consistent with June climatology showing average maxima of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus indicates low odds for readings at or above 34°C, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are watching real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration, which will provide the official maximum for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
32°C 53%
31°C 22.9%
33°C 23%
34°C 5%
$49,939 KL.
$49,939 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
53%
33°C
23%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 22.9%
33°C 23%
34°C 5%
$49,939 KL.
$49,939 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
53%
33°C
23%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s daily high on June 11, reflecting current forecasts from regional meteorological models projecting a peak near that level under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Moderate humidity, possible afternoon cloud cover, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme surface heating, consistent with June climatology showing average maxima of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus indicates low odds for readings at or above 34°C, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are watching real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration, which will provide the official maximum for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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