Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Istanbul on June 13, reflecting a cooler-than-average synoptic setup with increased cloud cover and northerly flow suppressing typical June warming. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 37% implied probability, consistent with mid-month climatology showing gradual warming but tempered by current atmospheric conditions. Historical baselines place average June highs around 25°C, yet the latest model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or wind shifts. Updated runs from official agencies ahead of the date will refine these projections for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 13?
20°C 36%
21°C 27%
22°C 21%
19°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
37%
21°C
27%
22°C
15%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
5%
20°C 36%
21°C 27%
22°C 21%
19°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
14°C or below
$10 KL.
1%
15°C
$0 KL.
2%
16°C
$10 KL.
1%
17°C
$18 KL.
5%
18°C
$0 KL.
6%
19°C
$0 KL.
19%
20°C
$28 KL.
37%
21°C
$16 KL.
27%
22°C
$5 KL.
15%
23°C
$10 KL.
9%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Istanbul on June 13, reflecting a cooler-than-average synoptic setup with increased cloud cover and northerly flow suppressing typical June warming. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 37% implied probability, consistent with mid-month climatology showing gradual warming but tempered by current atmospheric conditions. Historical baselines place average June highs around 25°C, yet the latest model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or wind shifts. Updated runs from official agencies ahead of the date will refine these projections for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Istanbul on June 13, reflecting a cooler-than-average synoptic setup with increased cloud cover and northerly flow suppressing typical June warming. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 37% implied probability, consistent with mid-month climatology showing gradual warming but tempered by current atmospheric conditions. Historical baselines place average June highs around 25°C, yet the latest model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or wind shifts. Updated runs from official agencies ahead of the date will refine these projections for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$32Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Istanbul on June 13, reflecting a cooler-than-average synoptic setup with increased cloud cover and northerly flow suppressing typical June warming. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 37% implied probability, consistent with mid-month climatology showing gradual warming but tempered by current atmospheric conditions. Historical baselines place average June highs around 25°C, yet the latest model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or wind shifts. Updated runs from official agencies ahead of the date will refine these projections for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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