Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 13?
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
21°C or higher 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
30%
18°C
20%
19°C
12%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
19%
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
21°C or higher 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
11°C or below
$201 KL.
<1%
12°C
$0 KL.
<1%
13°C
$20 KL.
1%
14°C
$0 KL.
9%
15°C
$16 KL.
10%
16°C
$0 KL.
26%
17°C
$0 KL.
30%
18°C
$16 KL.
20%
19°C
$0 KL.
12%
20°C
$0 KL.
9%
21°C or higher
$20 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$273Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$273Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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