Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
21°C or below 41%
22°C 31%
24°C 14.3%
23°C 14.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
21°C or below
41%
22°C
31%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 41%
22°C 31%
24°C 14.3%
23°C 14.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
21°C or below
$137 KL.
41%
22°C
$0 KL.
31%
23°C
$57 KL.
14%
24°C
$83 KL.
14%
25°C
$50 KL.
3%
26°C
$60 KL.
1%
27°C
$60 KL.
1%
28°C
$80 KL.
<1%
29°C
$80 KL.
<1%
30°C
$438 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$50 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$984Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$984Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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