Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on June 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 12?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 KL.
$141,070 KL.
Jun 12, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 KL.
$141,070 KL.
Jun 12, 2026
29°C or below
$18,519 KL.
No
30°C
$23,637 KL.
No
31°C
$24,973 KL.
No
32°C
$18,725 KL.
Yes
33°C
$16,907 KL.
No
34°C
$14,037 KL.
No
35°C
$7,654 KL.
No
36°C
$9,243 KL.
No
37°C
$2,474 KL.
No
38°C
$3,311 KL.
No
39°C or higher
$1,591 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$141,070Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$141,070Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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