Trader consensus clusters around 74–77°F lows for June 12 in New York City, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance projecting overnight minimums in the mid-70s within a warm, humid air mass. High dew points and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover or light winds are expected to suppress typical June nighttime drops, consistent with recent heat-index concerns above 90°F. Ensemble spread remains modest, though scattered thunderstorm timing could introduce minor variability in final observations from the official Central Park station. Updated model runs and evening forecasts on June 11 will further refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on June 12?
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
80°F or higher 19%
78-79°F 19%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
19%
80°F or higher
19%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
80°F or higher 19%
78-79°F 19%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
19%
80°F or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 74–77°F lows for June 12 in New York City, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance projecting overnight minimums in the mid-70s within a warm, humid air mass. High dew points and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover or light winds are expected to suppress typical June nighttime drops, consistent with recent heat-index concerns above 90°F. Ensemble spread remains modest, though scattered thunderstorm timing could introduce minor variability in final observations from the official Central Park station. Updated model runs and evening forecasts on June 11 will further refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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