The live endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has emerged as the dominant driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds for 200h+ and 100-200h runtimes. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human-like speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with no interventions required. April’s 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has bolstered trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures for these general-purpose platforms. Lingering questions around gripper wear, thermal management, and scheduled battery swaps sustain the tight spread between the two leading outcomes ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật200h+ 61%
100-200h 26%
50-100h 5%
$71,732 KL.
$71,732 KL.
50-100h
5%
100-200h
43%
200h+
61%
200h+ 61%
100-200h 26%
50-100h 5%
$71,732 KL.
$71,732 KL.
50-100h
5%
100-200h
43%
200h+
61%
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The live endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has emerged as the dominant driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds for 200h+ and 100-200h runtimes. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human-like speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with no interventions required. April’s 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has bolstered trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures for these general-purpose platforms. Lingering questions around gripper wear, thermal management, and scheduled battery swaps sustain the tight spread between the two leading outcomes ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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