The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNot revealed in 2026 80%
Gwendolyn Beck 10.8%
Ben Carson 3.7%
Donald Trump 1.1%
$13,373 KL.
$13,373 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Not revealed in 2026
81%
Gwendolyn Beck
11%
Ben Carson
4%
Donald Trump
1%
Ted Cruz
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Rand Paul
<1%
Not revealed in 2026 80%
Gwendolyn Beck 10.8%
Ben Carson 3.7%
Donald Trump 1.1%
$13,373 KL.
$13,373 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Not revealed in 2026
$3,977 KL.
81%
Gwendolyn Beck
$1,311 KL.
11%
Ben Carson
$1,840 KL.
4%
Donald Trump
$1,662 KL.
1%
Ted Cruz
$1,658 KL.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,706 KL.
<1%
Rand Paul
$1,219 KL.
<1%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,373Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$13,373Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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