Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
23%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,519 KL.
78%
Republican Party
$4,628 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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