The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
23%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,519 KL.
78%
Republican Party
$4,628 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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