The September 30, 2026, stabbing aboard a Flydubai flight from Dubai to Tel Aviv—where an Omani co-pilot allegedly attacked the Indian captain and attempted to crash the plane carrying mostly Israeli passengers—prompted Israeli leaders including Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz to label it a possible jihadist terror attempt. However, officials have not formally accused Iran or its proxies, instead emphasizing an ongoing Saudi-led investigation into the individual's motives and background. A senior U.S. official has stated there are no indications of Iranian direction or involvement. With probes still active amid broader U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict dynamics, traders assess the probability of a specific Israeli accusation by October 31 as below even odds.