The federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey for alleged threats tied to a 2025 social media post remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment rescheduled to September 30 and trial set for October 2026 in North Carolina. Comey surrendered in April but was released on his own recognizance, consistent with standard handling of non-violent charges absent flight risk or danger findings. Sentencing after any conviction would require additional hearings well beyond June 30, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 98.9% implied probability for "No." Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected judicial order for pretrial detention or a rapid plea agreement with immediate custody, though neither appears imminent given current court scheduling and case status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey for alleged threats tied to a 2025 social media post remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment rescheduled to September 30 and trial set for October 2026 in North Carolina. Comey surrendered in April but was released on his own recognizance, consistent with standard handling of non-violent charges absent flight risk or danger findings. Sentencing after any conviction would require additional hearings well beyond June 30, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 98.9% implied probability for "No." Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected judicial order for pretrial detention or a rapid plea agreement with immediate custody, though neither appears imminent given current court scheduling and case status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,629Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey for alleged threats tied to a 2025 social media post remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment rescheduled to September 30 and trial set for October 2026 in North Carolina. Comey surrendered in April but was released on his own recognizance, consistent with standard handling of non-violent charges absent flight risk or danger findings. Sentencing after any conviction would require additional hearings well beyond June 30, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 98.9% implied probability for "No." Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected judicial order for pretrial detention or a rapid plea agreement with immediate custody, though neither appears imminent given current court scheduling and case status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,629Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey for alleged threats tied to a 2025 social media post remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment rescheduled to September 30 and trial set for October 2026 in North Carolina. Comey surrendered in April but was released on his own recognizance, consistent with standard handling of non-violent charges absent flight risk or danger findings. Sentencing after any conviction would require additional hearings well beyond June 30, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 98.9% implied probability for "No." Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected judicial order for pretrial detention or a rapid plea agreement with immediate custody, though neither appears imminent given current court scheduling and case status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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